Nike Inc (NKE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to NKE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 5.90%.   Win rate: 92.86%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.034.   Maximum drawdown: -36.89% on 30 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 214.44%. Time in market: 1026 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1040.94 on 17 October 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Nike

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 14 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (92.86% * 8.18%) + (0% * 0%) - (7.14% * 23.70%) = 5.90%.
Wins: 13 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Nike Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 April 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.837   Super Oversold (52) $ 42.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
02 April 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.808   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (DB) $ 43.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.972   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 52.66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 March 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.979   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 53.17 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.949   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 54.16 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.995   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 55.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.999   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 55.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.962   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (DB) $ 55.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.998   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 55.97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.998   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 55.97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.951   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 65.65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.99   Super Oversold (26) $ 76.25 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.975   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 91.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.894   Super Oversold (26) $ 94.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 October 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.989   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 84.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 October 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.989   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (DB) $ 84.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.994   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 83.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.994   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 83.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.994   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 83.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.986   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 96.97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.986   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 96.97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 June 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.996   Super Oversold (MD) $ 103.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.997   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 105.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 March 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.992   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 127.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 March 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.95   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 131.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.994   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 76.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Nike Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: NKE) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 04 Jan 2016 - 15 May 2026.