Nike Inc (NKE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to NKE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 5.72%.   Win rate: 92.31%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.022.   Maximum drawdown: -36.89% on 30 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 207.86%. Time in market: 1011 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1040.94 on 17 October 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Nike

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 13 signal(s) occurring before 20 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (92.31% * 8.18%) + (0% * 0%) - (7.69% * 23.70%) = 5.72%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Nike Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 April 2026   HIGH     smart_toy0.837 Super Oversold $ 42.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
20 March 2026   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.972 Super Oversold $ 52.66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 March 2026   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.979 Super Oversold $ 53.17 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 March 2026   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.949 Super Oversold $ 54.16 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 April 2025   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.995 Super Oversold $ 55.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2025   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.999 Super Oversold $ 55.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2025   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.998 Super Oversold $ 55.97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2025   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.998 Super Oversold $ 55.97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2025   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.951 Super Oversold $ 65.65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 June 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.99 Super Oversold $ 76.25 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 September 2023   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.975 Super Oversold $ 91.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 September 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.894 Super Oversold $ 94.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 October 2022   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.989 Super Oversold $ 84.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2022   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.994 Super Oversold $ 83.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2022   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.994 Super Oversold $ 83.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.994 Super Oversold $ 83.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2022   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.986 Super Oversold $ 96.97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.986 Super Oversold $ 96.97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 June 2022   HIGH     smart_toy0.996 Super Oversold $ 103.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 June 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.997 Super Oversold $ 105.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 March 2022   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.992 Super Oversold $ 127.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 March 2022   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.95 Super Oversold $ 131.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 March 2020   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.994 Super Oversold $ 76.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Nike Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: NKE) was last updated 28 Apr 2026 06:25. Data for this stock is available from 04 Jan 2016 - 27 Apr 2026.