Nike Inc (NKE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to NKE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 4.99%. Win rate: 90.48%. Sharpe Ratio: -0.688. Maximum drawdown: -49.98% on 30 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 165.74%. Time in market: 2467 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1203.22 on 04 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Nike

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 21 signal(s) occurring before 17 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (90.48% * 8.91%) + (0% * 0%) - (9.52% * 32.26%) = 4.99%.
Wins: 19 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Nike Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date	Signal Type	Score	Performance
			5%	6%	7.5%
24 June 2026	Williams %R (Weekly)	smart_toyLOW (52) shopping_cartLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
24 June 2026	50 Day Low	smart_toyLOW (74) shopping_cartLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
24 June 2026	52 Week Low	smart_toyMEDIUM (82) shopping_cartLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
24 June 2026	26 Week Low	smart_toyLOW (79) shopping_cartLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
23 June 2026	Simple Mean Reversion	smart_toyHIGH (96) shopping_cartLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
23 June 2026	Mega Dump Lite	smart_toyLOW (70) shopping_cartLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
22 June 2026	Gap Down	smart_toyLOW (70) shopping_cartLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
17 June 2026	Collapsed Bubble	smart_toyMEDIUM (81) shopping_cartLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
03 June 2026	Collapsed Bubble	smart_toyMEDIUM (81) shopping_cartLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
22 May 2026	Collapsed Bubble	smart_toyMEDIUM (85) shopping_cartLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
02 October 2025 smart_toyLOW (76) shopping_cartLOW	Gap Up	$ 74.78	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
30 June 2025 smart_toyLOW (60) shopping_cartLOW	Gap Up	$ 71.24	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
13 May 2025 smart_toyLOW (52) shopping_cartLOW	Gap Up	$ 62.50	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 April 2025 smart_toyMEDIUM (87) shopping_cartHIGH	Gap Up	$ 56.30	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2024 smart_toyLOW (47) shopping_cartLOW	Gap Up	$ 85.80	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
16 August 2024 smart_toyLOW (59) shopping_cartLOW	Gap Up	$ 83.06	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule
02 October 2023 smart_toyLOW (68)	Gap Up	$ 94.72	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 June 2023 smart_toyLOW (62)	Gap Up	$ 105.46	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	disabled_by_default
22 December 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (85)	Gap Up	$ 115.50	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default
11 November 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (81)	Gap Up	$ 103.20	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 November 2022 smart_toyHIGH (95)	Gap Up	$ 94.88	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2022 smart_toyLOW (40)	Gap Up	$ 132.82	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
10 March 2022 smart_toyLOW (62)	Gap Up	$ 125.02	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
22 December 2021 smart_toyLOW (53)	Gap Up	$ 166.34	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
28 June 2021 smart_toyLOW (35)	Gap Up	$ 153.14	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default
22 December 2020 smart_toyMEDIUM (80)	Gap Up	$ 142.75	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
10 November 2020 smart_toyLOW (79)	Gap Up	$ 128.88	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
24 September 2020 smart_toyLOW (49)	Gap Up	$ 125.60	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
19 May 2020 smart_toyLOW (61)	Gap Up	$ 90.95	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2020 smart_toyMEDIUM (87)	Gap Up	$ 84.79	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 March 2020 smart_toyHIGH (98)	Gap Up	$ 82.03	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2020 smart_toyHIGH (98)	Gap Up	$ 79.36	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020 smart_toyHIGH (97)	Gap Up	$ 65.87	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 September 2019 smart_toyLOW (78)	Gap Up	$ 91.18	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
24 December 2018 smart_toyHIGH (94)	Gap Up	$ 68.66	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 July 2018 smart_toyLOW (23)	Gap Up	$ 76.82	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
03 July 2017 smart_toyLOW (79)	Gap Up	$ 56.57	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt

The data for Nike Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: NKE) was last updated 27 Jul 2026 07:54. Data for this stock is available from 04 Jan 2016 - 24 Jul 2026.