MSA Safety Inc (MSA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to MSA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.05%.   Win rate: 84.44%.   Sharpe Ratio: -5.613.   Maximum drawdown: -32.05% on 30 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 142.33%. Time in market: 5789 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $5645.54 on 24 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for MSA Safety

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 45 signal(s) occurring before 23 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (84.44% * 8.60%) + (13.33% * 0.97%) - (2.22% * 15.26%) = 7.05%.
Wins: 38 Breakevens: 6 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

MSA Safety Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 June 2026      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 160.62 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 April 2026      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 170.46 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 173.63 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 November 2025      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 158.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 April 2025      shopping_cartHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 142.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 March 2025      shopping_cartLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 151.69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 October 2024      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 173.29 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 September 2024      shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 171.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
09 August 2024       Mega Dump Lite $ 177.07 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 June 2024       Mega Dump Lite $ 175.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
07 November 2023       sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 159.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 October 2023       Mega Dump Lite $ 157.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 February 2023       Mega Dump Lite $ 133.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 January 2023       Mega Dump Lite $ 131.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 December 2022       Mega Dump Lite $ 133.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2022       sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 115.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 September 2022       Mega Dump Lite $ 118.27 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 July 2022       sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 122.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022       Mega Dump Lite $ 120.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 May 2022       sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 121.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
07 April 2022       sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 134.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 March 2022       Mega Dump Lite $ 137.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 February 2022       Mega Dump Lite $ 138.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 December 2021       Mega Dump Lite $ 144.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 September 2021       Mega Dump Lite $ 146.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 June 2021       Mega Dump Lite $ 161.63 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 April 2021       Mega Dump Lite $ 152.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
08 March 2021       Mega Dump Lite $ 161.89 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 November 2020       Mega Dump Lite $ 137.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 July 2020       Mega Dump Lite $ 114.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2020       Mega Dump Lite $ 114.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 May 2020       Mega Dump Lite $ 114.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 April 2020       sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 90.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2020       sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 124.39 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2019       Mega Dump Lite $ 108.29 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 August 2019       Mega Dump Lite $ 101.83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 June 2019       Mega Dump Lite $ 99.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 January 2019       Mega Dump Lite $ 97.65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 December 2018       Mega Dump Lite $ 87.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 November 2018       Mega Dump Lite $ 104.43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 October 2018       Mega Dump Lite $ 95.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
12 February 2018       Mega Dump Lite $ 71.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 December 2017       Mega Dump Lite $ 76.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 September 2017       Mega Dump Lite $ 70.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 August 2017       Mega Dump Lite $ 65.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2017       Mega Dump Lite $ 66.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 February 2017       Mega Dump Lite $ 65.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 September 2016       Mega Dump Lite $ 51.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 June 2016       Mega Dump Lite $ 48.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2016       Mega Dump Lite $ 39.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 January 2016       Mega Dump Lite $ 35.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 December 2015       Mega Dump Lite $ 40.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 November 2015       Mega Dump Lite $ 40.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 October 2015       Mega Dump Lite $ 36.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for MSA Safety Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: MSA) was last updated 01 Jul 2026 07:45. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 30 Jun 2026.