MSA Safety Inc (MSA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to MSA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.69%.   Win rate: 71.43%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.129.   Maximum drawdown: -23.22% on 30 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 104.2%. Time in market: 1327 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1244.03 on 27 October 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for MSA Safety

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 7 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (71.43% * 9.27%) + (28.57% * 0.25%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.69%.
Wins: 5 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

MSA Safety Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
03 August 2026 Gap Up 45 69 100 88 74 61 schedule schedule schedule
12 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 58 65 100 88 77 68 schedule schedule schedule
10 June 2026 26 Week Low 42 48 100 88 77 52 schedule schedule schedule
08 June 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 34 74 100 88 77 53 schedule schedule schedule
05 June 2026 50 Day Low 43 75 100 88 77 60 schedule schedule schedule
24 April 2026 Mega Dump Lite 59 83 100 84 77 74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 April 2026 Double Seven 54 75 100 84 77 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
27 March 2026 50 Day Low 57 76 100 84 77 71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
26 March 2026 Gap Down 63 79 100 84 77 75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite 59 82 100 84 77 73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
10 March 2025 52 Week Low $ 156.55 90 60 100 72 82 83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 January 2025 52 Week Low $ 161.20 75 85 100 79 81 84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 September 2022 52 Week Low $ 111.83 98 93 100 83 85 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 June 2022 52 Week Low $ 118.55 97 92 100 83 85 99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 April 2022 52 Week Low $ 128.84 75 73 100 89 91 81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 March 2022 52 Week Low $ 131.16 86 89 100 90 90 93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 January 2022 52 Week Low $ 139.65 85 75 100 90 90 88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 December 2021 52 Week Low $ 143.28 72 84 100 88 90 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 90.94 99 95 100 90 94 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for MSA Safety Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: MSA) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.