Altria Group Inc (MO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to MO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 5.86%.   Win rate: 80.56%.   Sharpe Ratio: -4.641.   Maximum drawdown: -37.38% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 89.29%. Time in market: 6625 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1573.59 on 21 March 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Altria Group

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 36 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (80.56% * 8.42%) + (13.89% * 0.73%) - (5.56% * 18.42%) = 5.86%.
Wins: 29 Breakevens: 5 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Altria Group Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
10 August 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 56 72 92 87 75 69 schedule schedule schedule
05 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite 63 69 92 87 75 72 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026 50 Day Low 63 59 92 87 75 69 schedule schedule schedule
30 July 2026 Gap Down 51 57 92 87 75 61 schedule schedule schedule
15 June 2026 Gap Down 39 58 92 85 77 53 schedule schedule schedule
12 June 2026 Double Seven 49 64 92 85 77 61 schedule schedule schedule
11 May 2026 Double Seven 65 87 92 83 72 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 May 2026 Gap Down 35 78 92 83 72 55 schedule schedule schedule
01 May 2026 Gap Up 23 88 92 83 72 45 schedule schedule schedule
07 April 2026 Double Seven 54 79 93 82 72 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
05 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 68.34 63 69 92 87 75 72 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 December 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 58.26 75 67 90 82 76 78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 November 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 57.38 82 69 90 84 78 84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 April 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 56.46 97 93 92 72 75 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 January 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 51.65 64 86 90 68 74 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 December 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 53.71 61 93 90 67 74 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 September 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 50.71 73 73 91 59 76 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 November 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 39.16 77 87 95 59 86 83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 June 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 42.46 68 80 95 72 88 77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 May 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.50 81 80 95 73 88 85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 January 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 44.84 84 77 86 71 63 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 October 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.99 91 95 83 67 63 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
19 September 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 42.44 93 94 84 66 63 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
18 July 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 42.30 88 84 84 65 64 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
14 June 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 46.34 89 92 83 63 63 93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 May 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 52.75 87 96 83 68 68 94 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 November 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 44.96 62 90 85 64 67 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 October 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 46.12 76 90 84 66 67 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 June 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 47.42 59 69 85 53 76 67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 May 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 49.94 57 62 84 51 80 63 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 April 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 46.94 47 57 84 52 82 56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
01 December 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 40.28 74 78 89 50 89 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 October 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 36.16 82 87 88 54 87 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 September 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 38.71 77 86 88 54 84 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 June 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 39.16 79 84 87 58 83 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 May 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 39.06 77 83 90 53 85 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 April 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 39.09 85 89 88 54 85 88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 March 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 32.26 96 93 90 59 87 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 February 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 44.49 64 77 100 71 91 74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 October 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 44.05 74 91 100 71 92 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 September 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 38.94 68 79 100 75 89 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 August 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.96 84 92 100 83 93 92 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
30 April 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 50.04 57 40 100 85 93 58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 February 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 44.78 81 75 100 78 94 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
02 January 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 44.81 93 94 100 77 95 97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
28 November 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 48.79 87 86 100 76 94 91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
22 May 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 48.48 68 75 100 85 98 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 April 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 50.25 76 72 100 69 98 79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 March 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 54.34 55 77 100 74 98 68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 February 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 56.50 60 66 100 86 99 69 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 September 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 53.54 77 48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
03 August 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 55.76 68 44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
18 November 2015 Mega Dump Lite $ 45.44 57 81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Altria Group Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: MO) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.