Altria Group Inc (MO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Buy indicator:            
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to MO's monthly backtests ]
Profit target:           [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]
Expectancy: 4.13%. See below chart for calculations and explanation.   Win rate: 84.62%.   Maximum drawdown: 39.81% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 81.43%. Time in market: 3962 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1334.84 on 06 May 2024
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

 

Expectancy Calculations for Altria Group

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 07 January 2024 for a 5% profit target: (84.62% * 5.71%) + (11.54% * 0.85%) - (3.85% * 20.98%) = 4.13%.
Wins: 22 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

 

50 Day Low Backtest Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 7.5% 10% 20%
06 January 2026 $55.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
21 October 2025 $64.10 schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 October 2024 $49.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 March 2024 $39.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 October 2023 $40.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
15 August 2023 $41.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 May 2023 $43.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 September 2022 $41.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
29 June 2022 $41.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
02 November 2021 $44.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 September 2021 $46.98 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 October 2020 $37.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 September 2020 $39.25 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 March 2020 $36.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 February 2020 $45.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 September 2019 $40.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2019 $44.26 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 June 2019 $45.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 May 2019 $47.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 January 2019 $42.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 December 2018 $46.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
15 November 2018 $52.07 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 April 2018 $49.71 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 March 2018 $52.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 February 2018 $55.63 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 September 2017 $53.91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
31 July 2017 $55.34 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
01 May 2017 $60.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 October 2016 $51.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 August 2016 $54.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Altria Group Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: MO) was last updated 14 Jan 2026 03:59. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 13 Jan 2026.