Medtronic Plc (MDT) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to MDT's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 2.10%.   Win rate: 76.92%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.362.   Maximum drawdown: -42.08% on 30 October 2023.
Mean CAGR: 54.65%. Time in market: 6207 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $937.23 on 04 September 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Medtronic Plc

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (76.92% * 8.07%) + (7.69% * 0.11%) - (15.38% * 26.76%) = 2.10%.
Wins: 20 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Medtronic Plc Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 April 2026   LOW     smart_toy0.781 50 Day Low $ 86.20 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 March 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.922 50 Day Low $ 93.88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 October 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.876 50 Day Low $ 91.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
22 May 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.959 50 Day Low $ 82.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 April 2025   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.986 50 Day Low $ 85.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
17 December 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.48 50 Day Low $ 81.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 November 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.882 50 Day Low $ 86.85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
28 June 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.855 50 Day Low $ 78.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 March 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.801 50 Day Low $ 83.39 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 October 2023   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.955 50 Day Low $ 69.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 September 2023   HIGH     smart_toy0.974 50 Day Low $ 78.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 August 2023   HIGH     smart_toy0.892 50 Day Low $ 80.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 March 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.972 50 Day Low $ 77.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
22 November 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.943 50 Day Low $ 77.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 October 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.99 50 Day Low $ 80.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
06 September 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.943 50 Day Low $ 86.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 July 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.992 50 Day Low $ 87.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
10 June 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.961 50 Day Low $ 92.30 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 May 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.97 50 Day Low $ 100.93 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 December 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.879 50 Day Low $ 105.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 November 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.823 50 Day Low $ 119.66 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 September 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.677 50 Day Low $ 125.96 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 June 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.864 50 Day Low $ 90.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 February 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.869 50 Day Low $ 109.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 April 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.77 50 Day Low $ 85.55 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2018   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.973 50 Day Low $ 86.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 March 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.969 50 Day Low $ 74.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 February 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.953 50 Day Low $ 75.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 September 2017   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.495 50 Day Low $ 74.25 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 August 2017   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.745 50 Day Low $ 78.25 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 December 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.887 50 Day Low $ 66.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 November 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.924 50 Day Low $ 73.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.854 50 Day Low $ 76.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 September 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.943 50 Day Low $ 78.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Medtronic Plc (exchange: XNYS symbol: MDT) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 06:46. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 29 Apr 2026.