Mastercard Incorporated (MA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to MA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.98%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 4.951.   Maximum drawdown: -9.70% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 228.03%. Time in market: 92 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1536.41 on 28 October 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Mastercard

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 5 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.98%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.98%.
Wins: 5 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Mastercard Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
02 June 2026 Gap Down 34 84 100 90 84 55 schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 47 84 100 90 84 66 schedule schedule schedule
14 May 2026 52 Week Low 61 90 100 88 84 77 schedule schedule schedule
14 May 2026 26 Week Low 76 90 100 88 84 87 schedule schedule schedule
14 May 2026 50 Day Low 73 90 100 88 84 85 schedule schedule schedule
30 April 2026 Gap Down 26 86 100 88 84 47 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 April 2026 Gap Up 16 86 100 88 84 37 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 April 2026 26 Week Low 59 72 100 87 84 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 April 2026 50 Day Low 66 72 100 87 84 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2026 Gap Down 50 76 100 87 84 65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
14 May 2026 52 Week Low $ 490.61 61 90 100 88 84 77 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 September 2022 52 Week Low $ 300.66 94 94 100 85 84 99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2022 52 Week Low $ 312.44 98 86 100 85 84 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 March 2022 52 Week Low $ 312.86 76 89 100 89 90 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 November 2021 52 Week Low $ 316.46 49 80 100 87 90 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 224.80 98 97 100 80 93 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Mastercard Incorporated (exchange: XNYS symbol: MA) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.