LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to LYB's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.58%.   Win rate: 93.02%.   Sharpe Ratio: -6.408.   Maximum drawdown: -56.78% on 16 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 115.43%. Time in market: 4947 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3940.25 on 29 February 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for LyondellBasell Industries

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 43 signal(s) occurring before 23 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (93.02% * 9.05%) + (6.98% * 2.28%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.58%.
Wins: 40 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

LyondellBasell Industries Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
16 June 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (42)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 62.50 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 May 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (42)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 74.54 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 April 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (47)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 75.50 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 January 2026   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 48.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 December 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 42.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 November 2025   smart_toyLOW (78)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 42.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 October 2025   smart_toyLOW (65)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 49.30 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 September 2025   smart_toyLOW (72)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 55.71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 July 2025   smart_toyLOW (46)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 62.43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 June 2025   smart_toyLOW (35)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 61.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 May 2025   smart_toyLOW (53)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 60.47 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 April 2025   smart_toyHIGH (93)    factoryHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 56.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 December 2024   smart_toyLOW (78)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 73.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 November 2024   smart_toyLOW (44)     Mega Dump Lite $ 87.01 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 October 2023   smart_toyLOW (34)     Mega Dump Lite $ 92.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 May 2023   smart_toyLOW (68)     Mega Dump Lite $ 87.03 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 April 2023   smart_toyLOW (64)     Mega Dump Lite $ 95.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 March 2023   smart_toyLOW (66)     Mega Dump Lite $ 86.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
11 October 2022   smart_toyHIGH (92)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 77.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 September 2022   smart_toyHIGH (90)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 81.65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 July 2022   smart_toyLOW (76)     Mega Dump Lite $ 89.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 June 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 88.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 January 2022   smart_toyLOW (59)     Mega Dump Lite $ 95.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 December 2021   smart_toyLOW (57)     Mega Dump Lite $ 88.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 October 2021   smart_toyLOW (64)     Mega Dump Lite $ 94.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
30 August 2021   smart_toyLOW (51)     Mega Dump Lite $ 102.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
27 July 2021   smart_toyLOW (69)     Mega Dump Lite $ 98.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 June 2021   smart_toyLOW (52)     Mega Dump Lite $ 103.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
05 March 2021   smart_toyLOW (70)     Mega Dump Lite $ 107.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
01 February 2021   smart_toyLOW (59)     Mega Dump Lite $ 86.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 November 2020   smart_toyLOW (70)     Mega Dump Lite $ 79.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 October 2020   smart_toyLOW (61)     Mega Dump Lite $ 77.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 September 2020   smart_toyLOW (63)     Mega Dump Lite $ 75.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 August 2020   smart_toyLOW (60)     Mega Dump Lite $ 71.41 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 July 2020   smart_toyLOW (65)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 64.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 June 2020   smart_toyLOW (59)     Mega Dump Lite $ 76.01 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
05 May 2020   smart_toyLOW (68)     Mega Dump Lite $ 54.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 45.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020   smart_toyLOW (45)     Mega Dump Lite $ 72.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
30 January 2020   smart_toyLOW (65)     Mega Dump Lite $ 80.79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2019   smart_toyLOW (69)     Mega Dump Lite $ 83.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 September 2019   smart_toyLOW (67)     Mega Dump Lite $ 80.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
08 August 2019   smart_toyLOW (74)     Mega Dump Lite $ 72.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 June 2019   smart_toyLOW (74)     Mega Dump Lite $ 82.03 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 May 2019   smart_toyLOW (54)     Mega Dump Lite $ 76.37 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 December 2018   smart_toyHIGH (96)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 65.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 November 2018   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     Mega Dump Lite $ 71.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (56)     Mega Dump Lite $ 70.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 September 2018   smart_toyLOW (20)     Mega Dump Lite $ 81.07 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 July 2018   smart_toyLOW (26)     Mega Dump Lite $ 84.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 June 2018   smart_toyLOW (29)     Mega Dump Lite $ 84.71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 April 2018   smart_toyLOW (35)     Mega Dump Lite $ 82.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 March 2018   smart_toyLOW (37)     Mega Dump Lite $ 81.75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 February 2018   smart_toyLOW (44)     Mega Dump Lite $ 82.90 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
06 September 2016   smart_toyLOW (56)     Mega Dump Lite $ 57.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 August 2016   smart_toyLOW (75)     Mega Dump Lite $ 52.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 June 2016   smart_toyLOW (73)     Mega Dump Lite $ 53.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for LyondellBasell Industries NV (exchange: XNYS symbol: LYB) was last updated 01 Jul 2026 07:45. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 30 Jun 2026.