LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to LYB's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 5.44%.   Win rate: 79.37%.   Sharpe Ratio: -6.474.   Maximum drawdown: -59.64% on 16 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 99.46%. Time in market: 10737 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1877.03 on 12 March 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for LyondellBasell Industries

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 63 signal(s) occurring before 01 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (79.37% * 8.47%) + (14.29% * 1.80%) - (6.35% * 24.30%) = 5.44%.
Wins: 50 Breakevens: 9 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

LyondellBasell Industries Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 May 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW    factoryLOW   Double Seven $ 74.11 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 April 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 73.66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 February 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 55.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 93.70 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 May 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 101.48 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 103.20 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 March 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 99.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 February 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 92.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
02 January 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 95.70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
28 November 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 93.59 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
27 October 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 89.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
25 September 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 93.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 August 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 95.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 July 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 88.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
02 June 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 86.79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 May 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 90.11 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
28 March 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 89.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 February 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 95.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 January 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 90.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 July 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 85.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
01 June 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 114.66 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 April 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 107.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 March 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 106.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 February 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 100.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
27 August 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 101.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
26 July 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 97.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
22 June 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 103.09 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
21 May 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 110.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 April 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 107.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
17 March 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 107.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
05 February 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 92.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 January 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 90.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 November 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 86.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 October 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 75.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 September 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 73.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 February 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 78.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
03 January 2020   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 89.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 December 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 90.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 October 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 87.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 September 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 83.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
12 August 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 70.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 July 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 81.93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 June 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 75.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 May 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 79.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 April 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 82.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 February 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 80.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
17 September 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 80.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 August 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 86.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 July 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 82.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
11 June 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 90.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 May 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 79.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 April 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 78.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 March 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 83.67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
02 February 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 86.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 December 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 81.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
07 November 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 79.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 October 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 74.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 August 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 66.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 July 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 66.29 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 May 2017   LOW     Double Seven $ 61.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 March 2017   LOW     Double Seven $ 66.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 February 2017   LOW     Double Seven $ 66.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 January 2017   LOW     Double Seven $ 68.09 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 December 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 63.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
15 November 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 59.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 October 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 57.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 July 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 55.95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for LyondellBasell Industries NV (exchange: XNYS symbol: LYB) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 08 Jun 2026.