Lilly Eli & Company (LLY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to LLY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.74%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.94.   Maximum drawdown: -20.02% on 28 October 2020.
Mean CAGR: 167.29%. Time in market: 1809 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $6140.88 on 09 January 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Lilly Eli & Co

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 35 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.74%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.74%.
Wins: 35 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Lilly Eli & Co Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.752   Mega Dump Lite $ 873.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
25 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.681   Mega Dump Lite $ 914.40 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 January 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.605   Mega Dump Lite $ 1080.10 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 December 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.763   Mega Dump Lite $ 1008.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
08 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.801   Mega Dump Lite $ 734.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 August 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.717   Mega Dump Lite $ 765.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.791   Mega Dump Lite $ 770.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.903   Mega Dump Lite $ 751.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.956   Mega Dump Lite $ 840.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
17 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.954   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 820.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 January 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.971   Mega Dump Lite $ 795.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.71   Mega Dump Lite $ 804.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
08 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.688   Mega Dump Lite $ 817.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.746   Mega Dump Lite $ 953.49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.535   Mega Dump Lite $ 866.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
04 December 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.64   Mega Dump Lite $ 582.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.939   Mega Dump Lite $ 559.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.894   Mega Dump Lite $ 547.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.695   Mega Dump Lite $ 320.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 February 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.946   Mega Dump Lite $ 337.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.7   Mega Dump Lite $ 308.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 August 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.654   Mega Dump Lite $ 304.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.973   Mega Dump Lite $ 290.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.754   Mega Dump Lite $ 284.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.908   Mega Dump Lite $ 239.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 January 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.911   Mega Dump Lite $ 244.97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 December 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.653   Mega Dump Lite $ 247.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.753   Mega Dump Lite $ 246.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 September 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.469   Mega Dump Lite $ 230.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 April 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.655   Mega Dump Lite $ 183.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 March 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.598   Mega Dump Lite $ 184.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 December 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.594   Mega Dump Lite $ 146.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 November 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.772   Mega Dump Lite $ 132.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 September 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.663   Mega Dump Lite $ 151.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.743   Mega Dump Lite $ 155.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 June 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.616   Mega Dump Lite $ 163.64 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 May 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.869   Mega Dump Lite $ 152.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 April 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.949   Mega Dump Lite $ 139.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.831   Mega Dump Lite $ 131.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 October 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.711   Mega Dump Lite $ 106.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 May 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.546   Mega Dump Lite $ 113.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 April 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.665   Mega Dump Lite $ 115.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 January 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.877   Mega Dump Lite $ 114.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.943   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 105.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 March 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.607   Mega Dump Lite $ 75.57 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 February 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.701   Mega Dump Lite $ 71.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 January 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.583   Mega Dump Lite $ 70.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
09 December 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.501   Mega Dump Lite $ 62.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 November 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.652   Mega Dump Lite $ 67.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 February 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.978   Mega Dump Lite $ 67.11 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Lilly Eli & Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: LLY) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 15 May 2026.