Lilly Eli & Company (LLY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to LLY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.72%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.065.   Maximum drawdown: -20.02% on 28 October 2020.
Mean CAGR: 169.53%. Time in market: 1831 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $6619.87 on 15 August 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Lilly Eli & Co

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 36 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.72%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.72%.
Wins: 36 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Lilly Eli & Co Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
06 August 2026 Gap Up 49 64 100 97 89 62 schedule schedule schedule
05 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite 62 63 100 97 89 71 schedule schedule schedule
30 July 2026 Gap Down 44 51 100 97 89 55 schedule schedule schedule
03 June 2026 Double Seven 45 85 100 93 89 64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
29 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite 43 81 100 93 89 62 schedule schedule schedule
01 May 2026 Gap Up 35 87 100 87 88 56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 May 2026 Double Seven 32 87 100 87 88 54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 April 2026 Mega Dump Lite 40 84 100 87 88 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 April 2026 50 Day Low 39 84 100 87 88 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 April 2026 Gap Down 38 82 100 86 88 58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
05 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 1171.93 62 63 100 97 89 71 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 1116.00 43 81 100 93 89 62 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 April 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 873.20 40 84 100 87 88 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 914.40 55 86 100 86 88 72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 January 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 1080.10 70 60 100 87 92 73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
11 December 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 1008.76 76 72 100 86 91 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
08 September 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 734.18 77 82 100 78 89 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 August 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 765.76 35 54 100 77 89 48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 June 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 770.58 39 68 100 79 90 55 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 May 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 751.50 39 62 100 78 90 53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 April 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 840.38 93 93 100 75 90 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
17 March 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 820.86 72 80 100 73 91 80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 January 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 795.94 45 87 100 73 91 63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 December 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 804.42 69 86 100 71 91 79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
08 November 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 817.52 66 82 100 67 91 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 August 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 953.49 61 57 100 66 92 65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 July 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 866.19 61 67 100 62 92 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
04 December 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 582.89 63 93 100 65 94 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 October 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 559.44 69 90 100 63 94 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 September 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 547.86 56 72 100 67 94 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 320.86 69 82 100 76 91 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 February 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 337.86 61 73 100 69 82 71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 September 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 308.24 73 88 100 65 84 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 August 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 304.56 69 83 100 66 87 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 290.46 72 95 100 68 89 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 April 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 284.10 79 94 100 72 96 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 239.43 57 84 100 57 88 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 January 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 244.97 51 79 100 57 88 64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 December 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 247.02 58 90 100 55 88 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 246.47 59 93 100 66 88 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 September 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 230.74 61 90 100 69 89 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 April 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 183.10 35 52 100 77 94 47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 March 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 184.68 48 79 100 72 93 64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 December 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 146.26 66 82 100 73 95 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 November 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 132.08 44 86 100 75 93 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 September 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 151.30 58 87 100 77 92 73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 155.82 38 79 100 77 91 56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 June 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 163.64 56 80 100 78 91 70 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 May 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 152.30 42 76 100 77 93 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 April 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 139.64 89 97 100 79 94 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 131.18 63 77 100 80 88 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 October 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 106.38 67 93 100 82 92 82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 May 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 113.10 81 68 100 88 88 83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 April 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 115.00 65 46 100 88 89 65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 January 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 114.20 72 83 100 80 91 82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 December 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 105.88 96 97 100 78 91 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 March 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 75.57 35 90 100 35 81 52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 February 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 71.89 56 60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 January 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 70.28 63 79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
09 December 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 62.24 73 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 November 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 67.26 75 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 February 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 67.11 89 88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Lilly Eli & Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: LLY) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.