Lilly Eli & Company (LLY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to LLY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.54%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 2.045.   Maximum drawdown: -19.26% on 28 October 2020.
Mean CAGR: 130.82%. Time in market: 948 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3156.94 on 06 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Lilly Eli & Co

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 15 signal(s) occurring before 17 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.54%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.54%.
Wins: 15 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Lilly Eli & Co Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
03 June 2026 Double Seven   smart_toyLOW (45)    stethoscopeLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
29 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (43)    stethoscopeLOW   schedule schedule schedule
01 May 2026 Gap Up   smart_toyLOW (35)    stethoscopeLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 May 2026 Double Seven   smart_toyLOW (32)    stethoscopeLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 April 2026 50 Day Low   smart_toyLOW (39)    stethoscopeLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 April 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (40)    stethoscopeLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 April 2026 Williams %R (Weekly)   smart_toyLOW (36)    stethoscopeLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 April 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (38)    stethoscopeLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 March 2026 Double Seven   smart_toyLOW (53)    stethoscopeLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (55)    stethoscopeHIGH   select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
01 May 2026   smart_toyLOW (35)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 956.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 February 2026   smart_toyLOW (59)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 1043.17 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
21 April 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (91)    stethoscopeHIGH   Gap Up $ 829.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
09 April 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (50)    stethoscopeHIGH   Gap Up $ 729.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 December 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (63)    stethoscopeHIGH   Gap Up $ 790.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
27 November 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (64)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 788.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 August 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (69)    stethoscopeHIGH   Gap Up $ 875.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
01 May 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (49)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 775.75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 February 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (62)    stethoscopeHIGH   Gap Up $ 716.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 November 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (57)    stethoscopeHIGH   Gap Up $ 571.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 August 2023   smart_toyLOW (41)    stethoscopeLOW   Gap Up $ 520.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 January 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)    stethoscopeHIGH   Gap Up $ 347.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 September 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     Gap Up $ 331.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 June 2022   smart_toyLOW (48)     Gap Up $ 308.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 December 2021   smart_toyLOW (49)     Gap Up $ 277.36 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 June 2021   smart_toyLOW (42)     Gap Up $ 231.67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 January 2021   smart_toyLOW (69)     Gap Up $ 180.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 June 2020   smart_toyLOW (45)     Gap Up $ 162.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (96)     Gap Up $ 129.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 December 2018   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     Gap Up $ 105.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (52)     Gap Up $ 110.35 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 November 2016   smart_toyLOW (66)     Gap Up $ 72.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Lilly Eli & Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: LLY) was last updated 27 Jul 2026 07:54. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 24 Jul 2026.