Lilly Eli & Company (LLY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to LLY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.37%.   Win rate: 95.95%.   Sharpe Ratio: -17.315.   Maximum drawdown: -21.36% on 28 October 2020.
Mean CAGR: 112.51%. Time in market: 7663 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $7411.86 on 23 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Lilly Eli & Co

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 74 signal(s) occurring before 01 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (95.95% * 8.66%) + (4.05% * 1.42%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.37%.
Wins: 71 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Lilly Eli & Co Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
03 June 2026   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 1069.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
01 May 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 956.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
30 March 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 887.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 1042.55 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
21 January 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 1061.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
19 December 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 1065.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
17 November 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 1012.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box schedule
14 October 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 817.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 March 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 841.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
12 November 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 824.53 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 October 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 924.05 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 September 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 910.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 August 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 791.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 July 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 906.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 May 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 757.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 April 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 755.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 747.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 February 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 736.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 January 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 623.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 December 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 584.70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 November 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 571.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 October 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 535.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 August 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 551.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 July 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 454.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 June 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 456.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 May 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 425.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 February 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 328.89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 January 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 354.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 December 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 358.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 November 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 357.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 September 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 325.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 August 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 311.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 July 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 331.28 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 June 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 301.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 May 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 294.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 April 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 299.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 239.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 January 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 244.97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 December 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 266.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 November 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 257.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 October 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 237.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 September 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 239.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 August 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 268.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 July 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 236.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 June 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 212.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 May 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 187.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 April 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 186.03 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 March 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 206.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 January 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 212.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 December 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 166.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 October 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 151.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 September 2020   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 147.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 August 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 152.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 July 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 166.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
05 June 2020   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 149.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 May 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 153.25 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
31 March 2020   cards_starHIGH     Double Seven $ 137.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 125.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 136.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 July 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 111.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 May 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 113.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
25 April 2019   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 114.85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
25 March 2019   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 125.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 February 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 118.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 January 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 111.83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 December 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 109.51 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 November 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 108.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 October 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 111.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 September 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 101.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 July 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 92.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 June 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 82.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 January 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 81.57 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
29 December 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 80.09 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 November 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 79.79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 October 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 81.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
20 September 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 77.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 August 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 72.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
17 July 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 78.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 June 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 75.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
12 May 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 74.85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 April 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 79.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 March 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 76.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 January 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 69.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
19 December 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 67.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 November 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 71.22 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 October 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 73.13 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 September 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 71.83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 August 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 74.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Lilly Eli & Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: LLY) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 08 Jun 2026.