Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to KDP's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.68%.   Win rate: 83.33%.   Sharpe Ratio: 1.131.   Maximum drawdown: -33.20% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 126.46%. Time in market: 632 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1368.02 on 27 August 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Keurig Dr Pepper

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 6 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (83.33% * 7.95%) + (16.67% * 0.35%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.68%.
Wins: 5 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Keurig Dr Pepper Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
10 August 2026 50 Day Low 33 73 100 89 76 52 schedule schedule schedule
07 August 2026 Gap Up 53 71 100 88 75 67 schedule schedule schedule
13 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 52 73 100 88 78 67 schedule schedule schedule
17 June 2026 Gap Down 43 58 100 88 78 56 schedule schedule schedule
09 June 2026 Double Seven 44 64 100 88 78 59 schedule schedule schedule
07 May 2026 Double Seven 49 81 100 85 78 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 April 2026 Gap Down 41 83 100 85 78 61 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 April 2026 Mega Dump Lite 37 79 100 84 78 56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2026 50 Day Low 43 84 100 84 77 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 March 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 49 80 100 84 79 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 August 2026 Gap Up $ 29.94 53 71 100 88 75 67 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 October 2025 Gap Up $ 28.94 65 76 100 85 84 76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
26 April 2024 Gap Up $ 33.60 41 80 100 57 92 57 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 October 2023 Gap Up $ 29.42 54 88 100 64 94 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 June 2022 Gap Up $ 36.43 60 89 100 60 83 73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
29 April 2020 Gap Up $ 26.90 65 85 100 52 92 74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 November 2019 Gap Up $ 29.18 52 82 100 58 84 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 November 2018 Gap Up $ 25.47 65 70 100 65 81 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: KDP) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.