Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:            
            [ What are these indicators? | Switch to KDP's monthly backtests ]
Profit target:             [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]
Expectancy: 5.19%.   Win rate: 85.19%.   Sharpe Ratio: -6.047.   Maximum drawdown: 27.52% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 75.79%. Time in market: 3550 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2510.44 on 25 April 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Keurig Dr Pepper

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 27 signal(s) occurring before 06 February 2024 for a 5% profit target: (85.19% * 6.02%) + (14.81% * 0.41%) - (0% * 0%) = 5.19%.
Wins: 23 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Keurig Dr Pepper Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
29 January 2026 $26.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
26 September 2025 $25.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
25 August 2025 $31.78 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 May 2025 $32.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
06 January 2025 $31.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
24 October 2024 $35.14 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 July 2024 $32.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 March 2024 $28.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 February 2024 $31.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 September 2023 $31.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 May 2023 $30.51 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 April 2023 $34.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 February 2023 $34.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 January 2023 $34.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 December 2022 $36.11 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 September 2022 $36.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
17 May 2022 $36.45 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
21 September 2021 $34.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 June 2021 $34.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 March 2021 $30.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 October 2020 $26.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 September 2020 $28.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 March 2020 $26.89 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
14 January 2020 $27.49 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 August 2019 $27.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
18 July 2019 $27.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
04 October 2018 $21.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 February 2018 $19.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 November 2017 $18.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 September 2017 $19.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 July 2017 $19.66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 April 2017 $20.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 November 2016 $18.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
08 September 2016 $20.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 April 2016 $18.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: KDP) was last updated 13 Feb 2026 06:46. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Feb 2026.