Illinois Tool Works Inc (ITW) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to ITW's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 7.10%.   Win rate: 88.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -4.044.   Maximum drawdown: -29.84% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 109.76%. Time in market: 3103 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2774.26 on 11 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Illinois Tool Works

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 25 signal(s) occurring before 26 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (88.00% * 7.99%) + (12.00% * 0.58%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.10%.
Wins: 22 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Illinois Tool Works Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
02 April 2026   LOW     50 Day Low $ 257.46 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 November 2025   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 241.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 October 2025   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 250.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
28 March 2025   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 247.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 December 2024   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 253.49 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 July 2024   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 234.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 May 2024   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 241.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 April 2024   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 252.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 October 2023   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 222.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 September 2023   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 231.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 May 2023   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 223.37 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 April 2023   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 227.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.989   mode_heat 50 Day Low $ 184.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 190.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.968   mode_heat 50 Day Low $ 204.41 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2022   HIGH     50 Day Low $ 212.15 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 January 2022   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 232.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 September 2021   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 221.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 January 2021   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 196.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 February 2020   HIGH     50 Day Low $ 169.91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 August 2019   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 141.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 May 2019   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 135.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.967   mode_heat 50 Day Low $ 116.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 October 2018   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 125.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 August 2018   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 129.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
21 June 2018   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 133.97 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 May 2018   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 134.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 March 2018   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 148.85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 February 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.959   mode_heat 50 Day Low $ 149.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 August 2017   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 129.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 October 2016   MEDIUM     50 Day Low $ 104.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 June 2016   LOW     50 Day Low $ 93.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 January 2016   LOW     50 Day Low $ 79.33 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Illinois Tool Works Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: ITW) was last updated 05 Apr 2026 19:46. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 02 Apr 2026.