Humana Inc (HUM) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to HUM's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 2.76%.   Win rate: 85.29%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.361.   Maximum drawdown: -56.55% on 18 July 2025.
Mean CAGR: 90.48%. Time in market: 10463 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1171.05 on 21 April 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Humana

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 68 signal(s) occurring before 01 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (85.29% * 8.20%) + (5.88% * 1.43%) - (8.82% * 48.99%) = 2.76%.
Wins: 58 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 6

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Humana Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 May 2026   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 305.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 February 2026   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 186.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 January 2026   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 273.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 November 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 235.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 October 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 263.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 271.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box schedule
28 November 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 510.15 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 October 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 509.38 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 May 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 511.52 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 April 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 514.36 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 March 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 494.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 January 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 488.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 December 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 504.96 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 November 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 530.42 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 October 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 498.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
09 September 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 482.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
08 August 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 484.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 July 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 473.53 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
31 May 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 455.91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 April 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 434.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 March 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 434.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 January 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 371.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 December 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 433.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
03 November 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 447.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 August 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 409.13 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 July 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 456.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 June 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 418.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
07 May 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 465.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 April 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 414.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
26 February 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 381.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 January 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 404.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 December 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 388.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 November 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 405.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 October 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 435.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 September 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 402.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 August 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 419.70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 July 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 382.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 June 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 392.59 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
08 May 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 377.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 March 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 336.27 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 February 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 339.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 January 2020   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 364.47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 September 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 274.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 August 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 294.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 November 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 307.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 October 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 315.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
24 September 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 334.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 August 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 321.79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 July 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 313.21 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
18 June 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 301.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
15 May 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 285.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 April 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 280.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 March 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 265.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 February 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 260.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 January 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 257.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 December 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 252.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 October 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 250.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 September 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 238.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 August 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 249.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 July 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 230.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 June 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 232.70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 May 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 224.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 April 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 207.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 March 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 214.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 February 2017   LOW     Double Seven $ 201.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 January 2017   LOW     Double Seven $ 196.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 December 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 198.20 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 September 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 171.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 August 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 172.49 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 July 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 169.04 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 June 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 178.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 May 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 165.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 April 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 168.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
18 March 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 177.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Humana Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: HUM) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this stock is available from 04 Jan 2016 - 08 Jun 2026.