Humana Inc (HUM) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to HUM's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 5.33%. Win rate: 93.10%. Sharpe Ratio: -0.893. Maximum drawdown: -53.49% on 18 July 2025.
Mean CAGR: 165.89%. Time in market: 2914 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2987.97 on 15 December 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Humana

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 29 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (93.10% * 8.54%) + (0% * 0%) - (6.90% * 37.96%) = 5.33%.
Wins: 27 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Humana Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
11 March 2026 smart_toyLOW (54) stethoscopeLOW	50 Day Low	$ 171.98	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2026 smart_toyLOW (42) stethoscopeLOW	50 Day Low	$ 213.96	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 November 2025 smart_toyLOW (54) stethoscopeHIGH	50 Day Low	$ 243.28	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
15 July 2025 smart_toyLOW (46) stethoscopeLOW	50 Day Low	$ 224.88	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2025 smart_toyLOW (56) stethoscopeLOW	50 Day Low	$ 236.66	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2025 smart_toyLOW (75) stethoscopeLOW sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 251.18	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
18 December 2024 smart_toyLOW (69) stethoscopeHIGH	50 Day Low	$ 238.52	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 September 2024 smart_toyLOW (55) stethoscopeLOW	50 Day Low	$ 344.96	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
02 April 2024 smart_toyLOW (66) stethoscopeLOW	50 Day Low	$ 309.91	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 February 2024 smart_toyLOW (75) stethoscopeLOW	50 Day Low	$ 351.04	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default
18 January 2024 smart_toyLOW (74) stethoscopeHIGH	50 Day Low	$ 402.21	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
14 December 2023 smart_toyLOW (37) stethoscopeHIGH	50 Day Low	$ 476.59	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
14 June 2023 smart_toyLOW (34)	50 Day Low	$ 453.14	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default
13 March 2023 smart_toyLOW (72)	50 Day Low	$ 479.76	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default
07 February 2023 smart_toyLOW (75)	50 Day Low	$ 481.04	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default
04 January 2023 smart_toyMEDIUM (81)	50 Day Low	$ 496.12	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
14 September 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (81) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 462.76	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (88) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 422.90	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
06 January 2022 smart_toyLOW (62)	50 Day Low	$ 390.17	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
15 September 2021 smart_toyLOW (51)	50 Day Low	$ 402.58	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
09 August 2021 smart_toyLOW (51)	50 Day Low	$ 417.46	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
27 January 2021 smart_toyLOW (44)	50 Day Low	$ 383.50	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
11 December 2020 smart_toyLOW (65)	50 Day Low	$ 394.43	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
23 September 2020 smart_toyLOW (72)	50 Day Low	$ 387.01	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
26 February 2020 smart_toyMEDIUM (84)	50 Day Low	$ 330.22	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 September 2019 smart_toyLOW (49)	50 Day Low	$ 269.62	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 April 2019 smart_toyLOW (50)	50 Day Low	$ 255.44	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
07 March 2019 smart_toyLOW (61)	50 Day Low	$ 268.36	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2018 smart_toyHIGH (94) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 271.67	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
19 November 2018 smart_toyLOW (70)	50 Day Low	$ 311.46	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
15 October 2018 smart_toyLOW (64)	50 Day Low	$ 313.83	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
15 November 2017 smart_toyLOW (54)	50 Day Low	$ 232.08	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 October 2017 smart_toyLOW (67)	50 Day Low	$ 233.53	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
06 February 2017 smart_toyLOW (65)	50 Day Low	$ 192.56	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
13 October 2016 smart_toyLOW (76)	50 Day Low	$ 164.60	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 July 2016 smart_toyLOW (63)	50 Day Low	$ 154.79	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
12 May 2016 smart_toyLOW (69)	50 Day Low	$ 163.30	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt

The data for Humana Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: HUM) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 04 Jan 2016 - 15 Jul 2026.