Humana Inc (HUM) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to HUM's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 3.09%. Win rate: 85.71%. Sharpe Ratio: -0.178. Maximum drawdown: -44.88% on 18 July 2025.
Mean CAGR: 143.02%. Time in market: 1045 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $966.34 on 20 January 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Humana

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 7 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (85.71% * 9.10%) + (0% * 0%) - (14.29% * 32.96%) = 3.09%.
Wins: 6 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Humana Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date	Signal Type	Scores						Performance
		Signal	Sector	WR	Speed	Risk	Overall	5%	6%	7.5%
04 August 2026 bubble_chart	Mega Dump Lite	65	60	79	94	61	72	schedule	schedule	schedule
29 July 2026 bubble_chart	Gap Down	39	71	79	94	61	57	schedule	schedule	schedule
17 July 2026 bubble_chart	Gap Up	62	65	79	93	65	71	schedule	schedule	schedule
30 June 2026 bubble_chart	Double Seven	82	45	79	93	65	75	schedule	schedule	schedule
17 June 2026 bubble_chart	Gap Up	79	55	79	93	65	78	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 June 2026 bubble_chart	Gap Down	60	54	79	93	65	66	schedule	schedule	schedule
09 June 2026 bubble_chart	Collapsed Bubble	65	57	79	94	65	71	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 June 2026	Gap Up	64	82	79	94	65	78	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 May 2026	Collapsed Bubble	57	79	79	94	65	72	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 May 2026	Double Seven	54	79	79	94	65	70	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule	schedule

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date	Buy Signal	Price	Scores						Performance (mouseover for details)
			Signal	Sector	WR	Speed	Risk	Overall	5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
11 March 2026	52 Week Low	$ 171.98	77	73	80	90	69	83	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2026	52 Week Low	$ 213.96	60	62	86	89	77	68	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 July 2025	52 Week Low	$ 224.88	46	60	96	83	83	58	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 May 2025	52 Week Low	$ 232.70	75	53	97	83	84	73	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 October 2024	52 Week Low	$ 297.22	61	78	100	79	90	73	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
02 April 2024	52 Week Low	$ 309.91	86	84	100	90	92	91	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 February 2024	52 Week Low	$ 351.04	59	86	100	78	92	73	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default
18 January 2024	52 Week Low	$ 402.21	77	85	100	76	93	84	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
06 July 2023	52 Week Low	$ 439.97	29	69	100	84	95	47	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default
07 January 2022	52 Week Low	$ 365.10	70	88	100	78	87	82	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2020	52 Week Low	$ 222.19	98	97	100	90	96	100	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2019	52 Week Low	$ 260.49	53	80	100	93	92	69	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt

The data for Humana Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: HUM) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 04 Jan 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.