Hershey Company (HSY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Double Seven Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite
Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to HSY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 4.63%. Win rate: 77.27%. Sharpe Ratio: -2.251. Maximum drawdown: -39.45% on 05 February 2025.
Mean CAGR: 91.56%. Time in market: 4470 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1331.43 on 05 February 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Hershey

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 22 signal(s) occurring before 23 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (77.27% * 8.12%) + (13.64% * 2.47%) - (9.09% * 21.74%) = 4.63%.
Wins: 17 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Hershey Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
23 June 2026 emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 176.98	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
19 May 2026 smart_toyLOW (40) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 192.52	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
16 April 2026 smart_toyLOW (55) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 191.68	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
16 March 2026 smart_toyLOW (55) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 219.66	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
09 December 2025 smart_toyLOW (67) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 179.86	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 November 2025 smart_toyLOW (56) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 168.14	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 September 2025 smart_toyLOW (63) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 185.06	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
01 August 2025 smart_toyLOW (47) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 188.45	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
30 June 2025 smart_toyLOW (60) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 166.30	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
27 May 2025 smart_toyLOW (52) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 157.16	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2025 smart_toyLOW (59) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 165.24	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
03 March 2025 smart_toyLOW (57) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 175.75	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
28 January 2025 smart_toyLOW (57) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 151.73	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 December 2024 smart_toyMEDIUM (81) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 169.89	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
26 July 2024 smart_toyLOW (43) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 192.94	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
24 June 2024 smart_toyLOW (42) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Mega Dump Lite	$ 185.12	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
21 May 2024 smart_toyLOW (45)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 207.98	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
18 April 2024 smart_toyLOW (39)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 184.08	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
17 October 2023 smart_toyLOW (49) sirenFIRE SALE	Mega Dump Lite	$ 189.58	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
25 August 2023 smart_toyLOW (48)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 214.91	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
18 July 2023 smart_toyLOW (36)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 236.94	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
24 January 2023 smart_toyLOW (76)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 218.30	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 November 2022 smart_toyLOW (64)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 221.48	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (83)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 220.93	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
24 May 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (85)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 211.88	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
02 November 2020 smart_toyLOW (64)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 140.22	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
25 September 2020 smart_toyLOW (64)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 138.34	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
09 June 2020 smart_toyLOW (51)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 134.37	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
08 May 2020 smart_toyLOW (48)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 131.92	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
06 April 2020 smart_toyMEDIUM (88) sirenFIRE SALE	Mega Dump Lite	$ 141.85	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
04 March 2020 smart_toyLOW (49)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 157.52	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
03 December 2019 smart_toyLOW (79)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 147.36	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
30 October 2019 smart_toyLOW (73)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 142.73	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
17 September 2019 smart_toyLOW (66)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 148.47	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
19 March 2018 smart_toyLOW (51)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 95.20	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
13 February 2018 smart_toyLOW (55)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 93.54	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
04 October 2016 smart_toyLOW (57)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 86.90	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
02 September 2016 smart_toyLOW (51)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 91.03	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box

The data for Hershey Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: HSY) was last updated 01 Jul 2026 07:45. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 30 Jun 2026.