Hershey Company (HSY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to HSY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 1.39%.   Win rate: 66.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.047.   Maximum drawdown: -33.01% on 05 February 2025.
Mean CAGR: 20.37%. Time in market: 2080 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $908.11 on 22 August 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Hershey

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 6 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (66.67% * 7.96%) + (0% * 0%) - (33.33% * 11.78%) = 1.39%.
Wins: 4 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 2

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Hershey Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
22 January 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.929   52 Week Low $ 152.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 December 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.778   52 Week Low $ 169.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
30 October 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.352   52 Week Low $ 178.70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 December 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.906   52 Week Low $ 182.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.908   52 Week Low $ 184.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 September 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.767   52 Week Low $ 205.23 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 August 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.755   52 Week Low $ 214.14 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 April 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.463   52 Week Low $ 91.15 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
02 February 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.704   52 Week Low $ 96.59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Hershey Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: HSY) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 15 May 2026.