Hormel Foods Corp (HRL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to HRL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -0.37%. Win rate: 65.52%. Sharpe Ratio: -2.83. Maximum drawdown: -38.14% on 15 May 2026.
Mean CAGR: 66.05%. Time in market: 8122 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $586.67 on 01 June 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Hormel Foods

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 29 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (65.52% * 8.94%) + (10.34% * 2.34%) - (24.14% * 26.80%) = -0.37%.
Wins: 19 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 7

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Hormel Foods Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
11 May 2026 smart_toyLOW (57) emoji_food_beverageLOW	50 Day Low	$ 20.30	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
19 March 2026 smart_toyLOW (66) emoji_food_beverageLOW	50 Day Low	$ 22.54	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
07 October 2025 smart_toyLOW (77) emoji_food_beverageLOW	50 Day Low	$ 24.19	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	schedule	schedule
28 August 2025 smart_toyLOW (59) emoji_food_beverageLOW	50 Day Low	$ 25.00	select_check_box	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
21 July 2025 smart_toyLOW (52) emoji_food_beverageLOW	50 Day Low	$ 29.02	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
05 February 2025 smart_toyLOW (65) emoji_food_beverageLOW	50 Day Low	$ 29.26	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule
08 November 2024 smart_toyLOW (53) emoji_food_beverageLOW	50 Day Low	$ 30.26	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
09 July 2024 smart_toyLOW (49) emoji_food_beverageLOW	50 Day Low	$ 30.08	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
30 May 2024 smart_toyLOW (50) emoji_food_beverageLOW	50 Day Low	$ 32.24	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
22 January 2024 smart_toyLOW (75)	50 Day Low	$ 30.48	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
30 November 2023 smart_toyLOW (68)	50 Day Low	$ 30.54	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
06 October 2023 smart_toyLOW (77)	50 Day Low	$ 36.71	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
22 August 2023 smart_toyLOW (70)	50 Day Low	$ 38.54	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
25 May 2023 smart_toyMEDIUM (88)	50 Day Low	$ 37.51	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
01 March 2023 smart_toyLOW (78)	50 Day Low	$ 44.00	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
18 January 2023 smart_toyLOW (79)	50 Day Low	$ 45.25	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
06 September 2022 smart_toyLOW (79) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 46.52	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
19 May 2022 smart_toyHIGH (95) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 47.81	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
03 September 2021 smart_toyLOW (64)	50 Day Low	$ 43.10	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
02 August 2021 smart_toyLOW (61)	50 Day Low	$ 46.52	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
26 April 2021 smart_toyLOW (51)	50 Day Low	$ 46.22	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
30 December 2020 smart_toyLOW (45)	50 Day Low	$ 46.58	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
25 November 2020 smart_toyLOW (53)	50 Day Low	$ 46.84	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
23 September 2020 smart_toyLOW (69)	50 Day Low	$ 48.34	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
27 February 2020 smart_toyLOW (77) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 42.84	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
17 October 2019 smart_toyLOW (66)	50 Day Low	$ 40.04	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
23 May 2019 smart_toyLOW (70)	50 Day Low	$ 37.55	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
12 April 2019 smart_toyLOW (69)	50 Day Low	$ 40.38	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
05 February 2018 smart_toyLOW (65)	50 Day Low	$ 31.60	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
23 October 2017 smart_toyLOW (65)	50 Day Low	$ 29.01	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 August 2017 smart_toyLOW (62)	50 Day Low	$ 30.11	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
10 July 2017 smart_toyLOW (63)	50 Day Low	$ 30.95	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
25 May 2017 smart_toyLOW (63)	50 Day Low	$ 31.60	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
22 March 2017 smart_toyLOW (55)	50 Day Low	$ 32.40	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
10 November 2016 smart_toyLOW (68)	50 Day Low	$ 33.29	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
25 May 2016 smart_toyLOW (74)	50 Day Low	$ 32.07	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
20 April 2016 smart_toyLOW (53)	50 Day Low	$ 36.02	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default

The data for Hormel Foods Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: HRL) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 15 Jul 2026.