HP Inc (HPQ) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to HPQ's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 4.86%.   Win rate: 87.50%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.856.   Maximum drawdown: -51.52% on 25 February 2026.
Mean CAGR: 132.13%. Time in market: 2598 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1231.07 on 01 June 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for HP

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 16 signal(s) occurring before 17 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (87.50% * 8.98%) + (0% * 0%) - (12.50% * 23.96%) = 4.86%.
Wins: 14 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

HP Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
17 June 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (58)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
09 June 2026 Double Seven   smart_toyLOW (52)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
09 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
01 June 2026 Gap Up   smart_toyLOW (51)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
27 May 2026 Collapsed Bubble   smart_toyLOW (62)    computerLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 May 2026 Collapsed Bubble   smart_toyLOW (52)    computerLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 May 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (32)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
29 April 2026 Oversold Rebound   smart_toyLOW (45)    computerLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 April 2026 Collapsed Bubble   smart_toyLOW (71)    computerLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 April 2026 Collapsed Bubble   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)    computerLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
01 June 2026   smart_toyLOW (51)    computerLOW   Gap Up $ 28.42 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 August 2025   smart_toyLOW (48)    computerLOW   Gap Up $ 28.32 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 May 2025   smart_toyLOW (54)    computerLOW   Gap Up $ 28.51 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 April 2025   smart_toyHIGH (96)    computerHIGH   Gap Up $ 23.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 May 2024   smart_toyLOW (44)     Gap Up $ 37.04 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 November 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Gap Up $ 29.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 April 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (59)     Gap Up $ 38.87 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
26 November 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (74)     Gap Up $ 34.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
01 March 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)     Gap Up $ 29.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 November 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     Gap Up $ 22.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 June 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)     Gap Up $ 17.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (94)     Gap Up $ 15.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 15.41 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (92)     Gap Up $ 15.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (90)     Gap Up $ 15.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 February 2020   smart_toyLOW (54)     Gap Up $ 21.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 November 2019   smart_toyLOW (74)     Gap Up $ 19.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
31 May 2018   smart_toyLOW (51)     Gap Up $ 20.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 February 2018   smart_toyLOW (39)     Gap Up $ 21.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 April 2017   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     Gap Up $ 16.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for HP Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: HPQ) was last updated 27 Jul 2026 07:54. Data for this stock is available from 04 Jan 2016 - 24 Jul 2026.