Houlihan Lokey Inc (HLI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to HLI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.70%.   Win rate: 92.31%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.386.   Maximum drawdown: -34.09% on 14 July 2022.
Mean CAGR: 108.57%. Time in market: 1580 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1970.11 on 10 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Houlihan Lokey

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 13 signal(s) occurring before 17 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (92.31% * 8.16%) + (0% * 0%) - (7.69% * 10.72%) = 6.70%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Houlihan Lokey Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
29 June 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (44)    account_balanceLOW   schedule schedule schedule
16 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (43)    account_balanceLOW   schedule schedule schedule
10 June 2026 Williams %R (Weekly)   smart_toyLOW (35)    account_balanceLOW   schedule schedule schedule
03 June 2026 52 Week Low   smart_toyLOW (45)    account_balanceLOW   schedule schedule schedule
03 June 2026 50 Day Low   smart_toyLOW (37)    account_balanceLOW   schedule schedule schedule
03 June 2026 26 Week Low   smart_toyLOW (48)    account_balanceLOW   schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (30)    account_balanceLOW   schedule schedule schedule
14 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (41)    account_balanceLOW   schedule schedule schedule
08 May 2026 Oversold Rebound   smart_toyLOW (39)    account_balanceLOW   schedule schedule schedule
10 April 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (41)    account_balanceLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 May 2025   smart_toyLOW (48)    account_balanceLOW   Gap Up $ 178.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
09 May 2025   smart_toyLOW (37)    account_balanceHIGH   Gap Up $ 174.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
07 November 2024   smart_toyLOW (39)    account_balanceLOW   Gap Up $ 185.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 November 2024   smart_toyLOW (52)    account_balanceLOW   Gap Up $ 172.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
05 February 2024   smart_toyLOW (57)     Gap Up $ 125.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 May 2023   smart_toyLOW (60)     Gap Up $ 88.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 October 2022   smart_toyHIGH (93)     Gap Up $ 89.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
01 November 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (63)     Gap Up $ 115.14 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 February 2021   smart_toyLOW (61)     Gap Up $ 66.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (96)     Gap Up $ 46.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (98)     Gap Up $ 45.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 February 2020   smart_toyLOW (69)     Gap Up $ 55.41 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 May 2019   smart_toyLOW (76)     Gap Up $ 47.53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
31 January 2019   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     Gap Up $ 42.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (77)     Gap Up $ 38.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2017   smart_toyLOW (67)     Gap Up $ 38.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 February 2017   smart_toyLOW (76)     Gap Up $ 30.33 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Houlihan Lokey Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: HLI) was last updated 27 Jul 2026 07:54. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 24 Jul 2026.