HCA Healthcare Inc (HCA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to HCA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.39%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.408.   Maximum drawdown: -48.26% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 136.78%. Time in market: 1944 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3361.53 on 10 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for HCA Healthcare

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 25 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.39%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.39%.
Wins: 25 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

HCA Healthcare Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
14 July 2026   smart_toyLOW (42)    stethoscopeLOW   50 Day Low $ 358.98 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 May 2026   smart_toyLOW (38)    stethoscopeLOW   50 Day Low $ 386.78 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 April 2026   smart_toyLOW (48)    stethoscopeLOW   50 Day Low $ 470.28 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 July 2025   smart_toyLOW (50)    stethoscopeLOW   50 Day Low $ 353.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 December 2024   smart_toyLOW (55)    stethoscopeLOW   50 Day Low $ 322.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 October 2024   smart_toyLOW (73)    stethoscopeLOW   50 Day Low $ 366.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 April 2024   smart_toyLOW (58)    stethoscopeLOW   50 Day Low $ 300.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 October 2023   smart_toyLOW (61)    stethoscopeHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 223.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 September 2023   smart_toyLOW (39)    stethoscopeLOW   50 Day Low $ 254.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 August 2023   smart_toyLOW (56)     50 Day Low $ 264.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 July 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (94)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 167.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (58)     50 Day Low $ 202.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 April 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (55)     50 Day Low $ 226.11 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (74)     50 Day Low $ 224.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 November 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (67)     50 Day Low $ 233.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
11 October 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (55)     50 Day Low $ 238.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 June 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     50 Day Low $ 97.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 February 2020   smart_toyLOW (73)     50 Day Low $ 136.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
02 October 2019   smart_toyLOW (61)     50 Day Low $ 114.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 August 2019   smart_toyLOW (75)     50 Day Low $ 122.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 April 2019   smart_toyLOW (40)     50 Day Low $ 119.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 December 2018   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 119.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (55)     50 Day Low $ 126.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
11 April 2018   smart_toyLOW (42)     50 Day Low $ 94.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 October 2017   smart_toyLOW (42)     50 Day Low $ 73.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 August 2017   smart_toyLOW (52)     50 Day Low $ 75.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 July 2017   smart_toyLOW (51)     50 Day Low $ 79.09 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
17 May 2017   smart_toyLOW (64)     50 Day Low $ 80.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
03 November 2016   smart_toyLOW (76)     50 Day Low $ 72.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 August 2016   smart_toyLOW (41)     50 Day Low $ 73.19 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
27 June 2016   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     50 Day Low $ 73.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for HCA Healthcare Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: HCA) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 15 Jul 2026.