Ford Motor Company (F) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to F's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.26%.   Win rate: 90.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.862.   Maximum drawdown: -57.99% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 173.39%. Time in market: 3253 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2286.05 on 15 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Ford Motor Company

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 30 signal(s) occurring before 31 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (90.0% * 10.68%) + (3.33% * 1.38%) - (6.67% * 35.94%) = 7.26%.
Wins: 27 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Ford Motor Company Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
30 July 2026 Gap Up 56 53 91 92 54 64 schedule schedule schedule
09 June 2026 Gap Down 30 61 91 92 59 47 schedule schedule schedule
05 June 2026 Double Seven 39 71 91 92 59 57 schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026 Gap Up 47 85 91 89 59 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 May 2026 Oversold Rebound 52 83 91 89 59 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 May 2026 Gap Down 42 76 91 89 59 60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 April 2026 Oversold Rebound 50 76 91 88 59 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 March 2026 Super Oversold (OR) 57 79 91 88 59 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2026 26 Week Low 47 84 91 88 59 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 March 2026 Oversold Rebound 50 83 91 88 63 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 July 2026 Gap Up $ 15.10 56 53 91 92 54 64 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026 Gap Up $ 12.98 47 85 91 89 59 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 February 2024 Gap Up $ 12.85 52 69 100 61 77 63 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
30 November 2023 Gap Up $ 10.47 78 91 100 64 79 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 May 2023 Gap Up $ 11.62 43 63 100 72 85 56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 October 2022  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 12.44 96 95 100 69 53 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
29 July 2022  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 14.40 94 89 100 69 54 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
03 March 2022  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 17.92 83 84 100 69 60 88 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 January 2022  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 19.93 63 87 100 69 60 77 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 October 2021  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 16.97 69 92 100 74 60 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 July 2021  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 14.09 53 80 100 62 77 66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 November 2020 Gap Up $ 8.30 90 80 100 64 79 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 October 2020 Gap Up $ 7.79 86 88 100 65 79 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 June 2020 Gap Up $ 6.28 91 81 100 70 86 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2020 Gap Up $ 6.44 87 81 100 70 87 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 June 2020 Gap Up $ 6.34 85 74 100 70 87 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 June 2020 Gap Up $ 7.53 92 68 100 69 87 86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 May 2020 Gap Up $ 6.02 82 81 100 67 89 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2020 Gap Up $ 5.28 90 80 100 67 89 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 April 2020 Gap Up $ 5.30 92 84 100 67 89 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 April 2020 Gap Up $ 5.00 96 94 100 67 89 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 April 2020 Gap Up $ 5.30 97 93 100 69 87 98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2020 Gap Up $ 4.94 96 95 100 68 87 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 April 2020 Gap Up $ 4.78 97 95 100 68 87 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 March 2020 Gap Up $ 5.30 98 95 100 66 90 98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2020 Gap Up $ 5.58 98 95 100 66 90 98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020 Gap Up $ 5.02 97 97 100 66 85 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2020 Gap Up $ 5.98 86 95 100 68 85 92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 April 2019 Gap Up $ 9.85 73 21 100 78 80 54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 October 2018 Gap Up $ 8.66 61 68 100 83 85 70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 October 2018 Gap Up $ 8.27 81 90 100 83 85 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 March 2018 Gap Up $ 9.75 48 85 100 83 74 67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Ford Motor Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: F) was last updated 10 Aug 2026 07:55. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 07 Aug 2026.