Dominos Pizza Inc (DPZ) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results 🍕

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to DPZ's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.63%.   Win rate: 90.91%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.092.   Maximum drawdown: -37.45% on 05 May 2026.
Mean CAGR: 120.06%. Time in market: 1652 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1796.99 on 01 May 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Dominos Pizza

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 11 signal(s) occurring before 17 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (90.91% * 11.97%) + (0% * 0%) - (9.09% * 35.82%) = 7.63%.
Wins: 10 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Dominos Pizza Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
21 July 2026 Gap Up   smart_toyLOW (13)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
10 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (55)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
24 June 2026 Simple Mean Reversion   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 June 2026 Super Oversold (52)   smart_toyLOW (78)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble   smart_toyLOW (78)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 June 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026 52 Week Low   smart_toyHIGH (95)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026 26 Week Low   smart_toyHIGH (94)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026 Williams %R (Weekly)   smart_toyLOW (46)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026 50 Day Low   smart_toyLOW (61)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
21 July 2026   smart_toyLOW (13)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Up $ 326.86 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 February 2026   smart_toyLOW (42)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Up $ 408.48 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 July 2025   smart_toyLOW (47)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Up $ 473.06 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 November 2024   smart_toyLOW (59)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Up $ 439.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
30 April 2024   smart_toyLOW (30)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Up $ 528.84 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 February 2024   smart_toyLOW (32)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Up $ 453.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
13 July 2023   smart_toyLOW (21)     Gap Up $ 387.61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
16 June 2023   smart_toyLOW (28)     Gap Up $ 329.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 October 2022   smart_toyHIGH (91)     Gap Up $ 325.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     Gap Up $ 332.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 February 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     Gap Up $ 367.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
25 April 2019   smart_toyLOW (65)     Gap Up $ 276.13 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 April 2018   smart_toyLOW (36)     Gap Up $ 245.15 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 August 2017   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     Gap Up $ 185.45 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 July 2016   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Gap Up $ 141.65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Dominos Pizza Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: DPZ) was last updated 27 Jul 2026 07:54. Data for this stock is available from 02 May 2016 - 24 Jul 2026.