Chevron Corp (CVX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to CVX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 6.44%.   Win rate: 82.61%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.998.   Maximum drawdown: -50.42% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 58.6%. Time in market: 4132 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1551.44 on 26 April 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Chevron

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 23 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (82.61% * 8.64%) + (8.70% * 0.40%) - (8.70% * 8.40%) = 6.44%.
Wins: 19 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Chevron Analysis

Market sector: Energy.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.905   50 Day Low $ 182.04 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.695   50 Day Low $ 149.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.716   50 Day Low $ 149.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.968   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 147.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
17 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.516   50 Day Low $ 148.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
04 September 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.95   50 Day Low $ 143.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
02 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.746   50 Day Low $ 149.84 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
05 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.8   50 Day Low $ 155.57 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 October 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.956   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 153.13 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 May 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.774   50 Day Low $ 151.25 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 February 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.862   50 Day Low $ 167.38 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
17 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.996   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 151.63 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 August 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.887   50 Day Low $ 94.55 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 July 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.802   50 Day Low $ 102.05 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 October 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.835   50 Day Low $ 69.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 September 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.779   50 Day Low $ 83.17 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 July 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.859   50 Day Low $ 86.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 February 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.93   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 103.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 January 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.724   50 Day Low $ 111.33 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 October 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.743   50 Day Low $ 109.73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
15 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.838   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 111.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
31 May 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.941   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 108.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
26 April 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.796   50 Day Low $ 111.41 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
19 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.973   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 101.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 October 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.837   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 106.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
15 August 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.868   50 Day Low $ 110.13 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 February 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.768   50 Day Low $ 103.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
31 May 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.707   50 Day Low $ 91.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 April 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.807   50 Day Low $ 92.99 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.833   50 Day Low $ 96.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
16 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.853   50 Day Low $ 84.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Chevron Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: CVX) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 15 May 2026.