Campbell Soup Company (CPB) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to CPB's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 1.08%.   Win rate: 58.33%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.476.   Maximum drawdown: -41.71% on 03 January 2019.
Mean CAGR: 48.36%. Time in market: 3657 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $652.21 on 16 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Campbell Soup Company

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 12 signal(s) occurring before 30 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (58.33% * 8.41%) + (25.00% * 1.00%) - (16.67% * 24.42%) = 1.08%.
Wins: 7 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Campbell Soup Company Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 April 2026   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.278 Gap Down $ 21.40 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 December 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.611 Gap Down $ 29.52 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 May 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.911 Gap Down $ 34.97 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 February 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.791 Gap Down $ 40.62 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 October 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.881 Gap Down $ 39.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 June 2023   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.935 Gap Down $ 45.69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 March 2022   HIGH     smart_toy0.977 Gap Down $ 43.85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 June 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.615 Gap Down $ 45.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 January 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.768 Gap Down $ 50.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 November 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.838 Gap Down $ 46.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
03 September 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.789 Gap Down $ 49.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 May 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.822 Gap Down $ 52.33 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 February 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.477 Gap Down $ 32.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 September 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.519 Gap Down $ 35.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
17 February 2017   LOW     smart_toy0.693 Gap Down $ 52.94 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 September 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.806 Gap Down $ 51.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default

 

The data for Campbell Soup Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: CPB) was last updated 08 May 2026 01:35. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 07 May 2026.