Conoco Phillips (COP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to COP's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 7.22%.   Win rate: 89.09%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.048.   Maximum drawdown: -64.62% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 148.94%. Time in market: 6398 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3111.81 on 01 April 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Conoco Phillips

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 55 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (89.09% * 9.18%) + (9.09% * 0.81%) - (1.82% * 56.38%) = 7.22%.
Wins: 49 Breakevens: 5 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Conoco Phillips Analysis

Market sector: Energy.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
15 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.653   Mega Dump Lite $ 121.60 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.442   Mega Dump Lite $ 124.29 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.409   Mega Dump Lite $ 87.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 July 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.732   Mega Dump Lite $ 92.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
16 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.724   Mega Dump Lite $ 95.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.824   Mega Dump Lite $ 93.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
10 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.98   Mega Dump Lite $ 85.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.935   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 92.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.692   Mega Dump Lite $ 96.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
19 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.946   Mega Dump Lite $ 112.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.78   Mega Dump Lite $ 105.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 September 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.56   Mega Dump Lite $ 105.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
07 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.651   Mega Dump Lite $ 107.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.791   Mega Dump Lite $ 109.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.777   Mega Dump Lite $ 121.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 February 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.637   Mega Dump Lite $ 111.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
22 January 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.605   Mega Dump Lite $ 107.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 November 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.701   Mega Dump Lite $ 114.77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
09 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.753   Mega Dump Lite $ 119.37 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
16 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.813   Mega Dump Lite $ 96.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 April 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.543   Mega Dump Lite $ 108.99 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
14 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.623   Mega Dump Lite $ 101.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 February 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.873   Mega Dump Lite $ 111.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 January 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.636   Mega Dump Lite $ 118.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 December 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.639   Mega Dump Lite $ 121.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 November 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.736   Mega Dump Lite $ 128.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.96   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 102.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 August 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.751   Mega Dump Lite $ 95.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 July 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.983   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 83.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.737   Mega Dump Lite $ 115.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
28 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.875   Mega Dump Lite $ 95.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 December 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.855   Mega Dump Lite $ 70.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 August 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.752   Mega Dump Lite $ 55.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 July 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.532   Mega Dump Lite $ 56.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 April 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.635   Mega Dump Lite $ 49.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 March 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.606   Mega Dump Lite $ 52.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 February 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.591   Mega Dump Lite $ 44.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 January 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.663   Mega Dump Lite $ 40.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 November 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.727   Mega Dump Lite $ 40.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 October 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.819   Mega Dump Lite $ 31.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 September 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.806   Mega Dump Lite $ 34.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 August 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.873   Mega Dump Lite $ 38.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 July 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.741   Mega Dump Lite $ 39.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 June 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.555   Mega Dump Lite $ 45.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
15 May 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.911   Mega Dump Lite $ 40.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 April 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.99   Mega Dump Lite $ 34.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.998   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 35.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 February 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.754   Mega Dump Lite $ 56.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 October 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.844   Mega Dump Lite $ 54.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
13 September 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.819   Mega Dump Lite $ 55.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.653   Mega Dump Lite $ 52.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 June 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.784   Mega Dump Lite $ 57.49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 May 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.618   Mega Dump Lite $ 59.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 January 2019   HIGH   smart_toy0.99   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 59.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
30 November 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.663   Mega Dump Lite $ 63.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.908   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 65.65 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 March 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.654   Mega Dump Lite $ 51.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 February 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.883   Mega Dump Lite $ 51.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 November 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.726   Mega Dump Lite $ 48.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 June 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.705   Mega Dump Lite $ 42.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 March 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.791   Mega Dump Lite $ 41.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.52   Mega Dump Lite $ 36.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 August 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.79   Mega Dump Lite $ 38.11 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 July 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.573   Mega Dump Lite $ 38.64 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.982   Mega Dump Lite $ 41.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 May 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.918   Mega Dump Lite $ 41.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 March 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.895   Mega Dump Lite $ 36.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 February 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.961   Mega Dump Lite $ 31.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 January 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.997   Mega Dump Lite $ 31.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 December 2015   LOW   smart_toy0.437   Mega Dump Lite $ 43.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Conoco Phillips (exchange: XNYS symbol: COP) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 15 May 2026.