Conoco Phillips (COP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to COP's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.99%.   Win rate: 85.96%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.869.   Maximum drawdown: -64.62% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 143.72%. Time in market: 7668 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3140.12 on 17 March 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Conoco Phillips

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 57 signal(s) occurring before 23 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (85.96% * 9.18%) + (12.28% * 0.73%) - (1.75% * 56.38%) = 6.99%.
Wins: 49 Breakevens: 7 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Conoco Phillips Analysis

Market sector: Energy.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
16 June 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (49)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 110.60 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 May 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (39)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 121.60 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 April 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (46)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 124.29 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 October 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (61)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 87.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 July 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (41)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 92.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
16 June 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (26)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 95.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 May 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (47)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 93.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
10 April 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (93)    local_gas_stationHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 85.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 March 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (67)    local_gas_stationHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 92.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 December 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)    local_gas_stationHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 96.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
19 November 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (64)    local_gas_stationHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 112.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 October 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (53)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 105.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 September 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (55)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 105.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
07 August 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 107.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 June 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (40)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 109.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 May 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (53)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 121.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 February 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (51)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 111.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
22 January 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (72)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 107.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 November 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (57)    local_gas_stationHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 114.77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
09 October 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 119.37 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
16 May 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 96.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 April 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (69)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 108.99 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
14 March 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (72)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 101.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 February 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (65)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 111.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 January 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 118.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 December 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (72)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 121.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 November 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (77)    local_gas_stationHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 128.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 September 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)    local_gas_stationHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 102.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 August 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (74)    local_gas_stationHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 95.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 July 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)    local_gas_stationHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 83.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 June 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)    local_gas_stationHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 115.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
28 April 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 95.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 December 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (56)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 70.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 August 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (56)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 55.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 July 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (54)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 56.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 April 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (41)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 49.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 March 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (47)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 52.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 February 2021   smart_toyLOW (62)    local_gas_stationHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 44.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 January 2021   smart_toyLOW (65)    local_gas_stationHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 40.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 November 2020   smart_toyLOW (69)    local_gas_stationHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 40.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 October 2020   smart_toyLOW (58)     Mega Dump Lite $ 31.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 September 2020   smart_toyLOW (60)     Mega Dump Lite $ 34.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 August 2020   smart_toyLOW (65)     Mega Dump Lite $ 38.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 July 2020   smart_toyLOW (45)     Mega Dump Lite $ 39.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 June 2020   smart_toyLOW (59)     Mega Dump Lite $ 45.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
15 May 2020   smart_toyLOW (57)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 40.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 April 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 34.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 March 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 35.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 February 2020   smart_toyLOW (38)     Mega Dump Lite $ 56.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 October 2019   smart_toyLOW (51)     Mega Dump Lite $ 54.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
13 September 2019   smart_toyLOW (49)     Mega Dump Lite $ 55.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 August 2019   smart_toyLOW (71)     Mega Dump Lite $ 52.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 June 2019   smart_toyLOW (45)     Mega Dump Lite $ 57.49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 May 2019   smart_toyLOW (42)     Mega Dump Lite $ 59.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 January 2019   smart_toyHIGH (92)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 59.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
30 November 2018   smart_toyLOW (36)     Mega Dump Lite $ 63.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (42)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 65.65 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 March 2018   smart_toyLOW (39)     Mega Dump Lite $ 51.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 February 2018   smart_toyLOW (50)     Mega Dump Lite $ 51.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 November 2017   smart_toyLOW (59)     Mega Dump Lite $ 48.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 June 2017   smart_toyLOW (54)     Mega Dump Lite $ 42.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 March 2017   smart_toyLOW (75)     Mega Dump Lite $ 41.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 September 2016   smart_toyLOW (55)     Mega Dump Lite $ 36.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 August 2016   smart_toyLOW (65)     Mega Dump Lite $ 38.11 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 July 2016   smart_toyLOW (68)     Mega Dump Lite $ 38.64 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 June 2016   smart_toyLOW (58)     Mega Dump Lite $ 41.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 May 2016   smart_toyLOW (70)     Mega Dump Lite $ 41.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 March 2016   smart_toyLOW (57)     Mega Dump Lite $ 36.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 February 2016   smart_toyLOW (79)     Mega Dump Lite $ 31.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 January 2016   smart_toyHIGH (93)     Mega Dump Lite $ 31.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 December 2015   smart_toyLOW (67)     Mega Dump Lite $ 43.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Conoco Phillips (exchange: XNYS symbol: COP) was last updated 01 Jul 2026 07:45. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 30 Jun 2026.