Conoco Phillips (COP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to COP's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.22%. Win rate: 86.21%. Sharpe Ratio: -2.34. Maximum drawdown: -64.32% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 137.83%. Time in market: 3806 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2668.42 on 02 March 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Conoco Phillips

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 29 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (86.21% * 9.01%) + (10.34% * 1.18%) - (3.45% * 19.60%) = 7.22%.
Wins: 25 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Conoco Phillips Analysis

Market sector: Energy.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
30 June 2026 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (46) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 104.24	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
29 May 2026 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (62) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 114.05	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
10 October 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (57) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 89.28	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
07 April 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (93) local_gas_stationHIGH sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 84.84	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (66) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 90.85	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
11 December 2024 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (80) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 102.28	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
28 October 2024 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (59) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 102.53	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
11 September 2024 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (54) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 103.18	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
02 August 2024 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (56) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 106.74	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
24 May 2024 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (49) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 117.82	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
16 January 2024 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (59) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 109.68	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 December 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (70) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 111.03	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default
05 October 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (65) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 112.00	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
03 May 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (62) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 93.72	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (66) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 101.34	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
03 February 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (62) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 109.71	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
16 December 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (75) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 110.44	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
23 June 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (92) local_gas_stationHIGH sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 90.82	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 December 2021 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (75) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 69.76	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 August 2021 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (58) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 52.32	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 July 2021 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (56) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 53.56	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 October 2020 smart_toyLOW (50)	50 Day Low	$ 31.40	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 September 2020 smart_toyLOW (34)	50 Day Low	$ 36.69	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 July 2020 smart_toyLOW (72)	50 Day Low	$ 39.02	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2020 smart_toyLOW (66) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 33.68	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 February 2020 smart_toyLOW (55)	50 Day Low	$ 56.75	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
05 August 2019 smart_toyLOW (59)	50 Day Low	$ 53.78	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
29 May 2019 smart_toyLOW (71)	50 Day Low	$ 57.98	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
25 April 2019 smart_toyLOW (29)	50 Day Low	$ 62.12	select_check_box	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
18 December 2018 smart_toyMEDIUM (85) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 60.08	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
24 October 2018 smart_toyLOW (30) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 65.10	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
24 July 2017 smart_toyLOW (74)	50 Day Low	$ 40.10	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 June 2017 smart_toyLOW (73)	50 Day Low	$ 40.32	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
22 March 2017 smart_toyLOW (72)	50 Day Low	$ 41.65	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
17 February 2017 smart_toyLOW (50)	50 Day Low	$ 44.46	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
16 September 2016 smart_toyLOW (56)	50 Day Low	$ 36.51	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 August 2016 smart_toyLOW (37)	50 Day Low	$ 36.75	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2016 smart_toyLOW (79)	50 Day Low	$ 38.02	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt

The data for Conoco Phillips (exchange: XNYS symbol: COP) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 15 Jul 2026.