Conoco Phillips (COP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to COP's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 10.57%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 4.398.   Maximum drawdown: -51.50% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 93.24%. Time in market: 404 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1222.21 on 23 February 2021.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Conoco Phillips

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 2 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 10.57%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 10.57%.
Wins: 2 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Conoco Phillips Analysis

Market sector: Energy.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
07 August 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 34 54 100 91 62 49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 46 60 100 90 62 60 schedule schedule schedule
20 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 39 52 100 90 64 52 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low 46 30 100 90 65 48 schedule schedule schedule
16 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 49 45 100 89 67 56 schedule schedule schedule
16 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 62 45 100 89 67 64 schedule schedule schedule
15 June 2026  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) 66 41 100 89 67 64 schedule schedule schedule
29 May 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low 62 68 100 87 66 72 schedule schedule schedule
28 May 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 37 57 100 87 66 51 schedule schedule schedule
26 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 38 66 100 87 66 54 schedule schedule schedule

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 April 2025  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 84.84 88 90 97 70 64 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2025  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 90.85 63 44 97 72 66 63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
11 December 2024  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 102.28 74 78 97 76 68 82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 October 2024  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 102.53 61 63 97 74 69 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
11 September 2024  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 103.18 49 69 97 73 72 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
05 August 2024  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 104.28 52 60 97 71 72 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 February 2020 52 Week Low $ 47.90 63 67 100 79 85 71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 August 2019 52 Week Low $ 53.78 68 60 100 80 80 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Conoco Phillips (exchange: XNYS symbol: COP) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.