Chewy Inc (CHWY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to CHWY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -4.14%.   Win rate: 77.14%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.511.   Maximum drawdown: -78.82% on 25 May 2022.
Mean CAGR: 122.73%. Time in market: 7220 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $304.96 on 20 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Chewy

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 35 signal(s) occurring before 22 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (77.14% * 9.54%) + (5.71% * 0.57%) - (17.14% * 67.24%) = -4.14%.
Wins: 27 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 6

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Chewy Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
23 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (61)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
13 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (58)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
29 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump   smart_toyHIGH (91)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
18 June 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (26)   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
17 June 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (52)   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
17 June 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (RoC)   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
11 June 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD)   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
11 June 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (52)   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
10 June 2026  bubble_chart 52 Week Low   smart_toyLOW (65)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
10 June 2026  bubble_chart 26 Week Low   smart_toyLOW (72)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
23 July 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (61)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 20.76 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 April 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (41)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 28.40 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 February 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (43)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 26.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
05 January 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (69)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 32.90 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 April 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (70)    emoji_food_beverageHIGH   Gap Down $ 32.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 February 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (48)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 36.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 December 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (56)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 31.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 June 2024   smart_toyLOW (52)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 23.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 March 2024   smart_toyLOW (45)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 17.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 January 2024   smart_toyLOW (66)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 18.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 December 2023   smart_toyLOW (76)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 24.01 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 November 2023   smart_toyLOW (71)    emoji_food_beverageHIGH   Gap Down $ 20.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 September 2023   smart_toyLOW (68)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 19.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 June 2023   smart_toyLOW (67)     Gap Down $ 37.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 April 2023   smart_toyLOW (58)     Gap Down $ 32.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 March 2023   smart_toyLOW (49)     Gap Down $ 38.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 January 2023   smart_toyLOW (65)     Gap Down $ 42.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
02 November 2022   smart_toyLOW (74)     Gap Down $ 36.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 September 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     sirenFIRE SALE Gap Down $ 31.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 August 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     Gap Down $ 39.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 July 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (76)     Gap Down $ 43.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
05 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (67)     sirenFIRE SALE Gap Down $ 30.09 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 March 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (39)     Gap Down $ 43.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
16 February 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (55)     Gap Down $ 51.82 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (57)     Gap Down $ 49.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 December 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (44)     Gap Down $ 58.30 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 November 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (65)     Gap Down $ 76.38 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 September 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (54)     Gap Down $ 71.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 July 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (38)     Gap Down $ 81.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
11 June 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (45)     Gap Down $ 75.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 May 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (19)     Gap Down $ 78.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 March 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (47)     Gap Down $ 81.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
15 January 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (59)     Gap Down $ 110.62 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 October 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)     Gap Down $ 65.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 September 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)     Gap Down $ 65.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 May 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (52)     Gap Down $ 41.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 April 2020   smart_toyLOW (69)     Gap Down $ 36.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 February 2020   smart_toyLOW (73)     Gap Down $ 30.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 January 2020   smart_toyLOW (42)     Gap Down $ 30.01 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 October 2019   smart_toyLOW (48)     Gap Down $ 26.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 September 2019   smart_toyLOW (62)     Gap Down $ 26.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 July 2019   smart_toyLOW (59)     Gap Down $ 32.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Chewy Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: CHWY) was last updated 30 Jul 2026 02:22. Data for this stock is available from 14 Jun 2019 - 29 Jul 2026.