Chewy Inc (CHWY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to CHWY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -2.64%.   Win rate: 77.27%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.858.   Maximum drawdown: -73.70% on 25 May 2022.
Mean CAGR: 157.8%. Time in market: 4052 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $113.49 on 14 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Chewy

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 22 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (77.27% * 11.40%) + (4.55% * 0.33%) - (18.18% * 63.04%) = -2.64%.
Wins: 17 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Chewy Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
10 June 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (61)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 19.60 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 May 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (56)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 23.34 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 March 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 23.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
26 January 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (42)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 31.58 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 December 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (64)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 32.64 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 October 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (59)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 34.87 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 July 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (53)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 37.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
10 March 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (64)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 32.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 April 2024   smart_toyLOW (59)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 15.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2024   smart_toyLOW (42)     50 Day Low $ 15.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 February 2024   smart_toyLOW (66)     50 Day Low $ 17.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 October 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     50 Day Low $ 16.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 September 2023   smart_toyLOW (49)     50 Day Low $ 20.71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 August 2023   smart_toyLOW (28)     50 Day Low $ 30.47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 May 2023   smart_toyLOW (51)     50 Day Low $ 29.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 April 2023   smart_toyLOW (57)     50 Day Low $ 32.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2023   smart_toyLOW (68)     50 Day Low $ 35.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
02 September 2022   smart_toyHIGH (93)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 33.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (92)     50 Day Low $ 23.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 April 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (70)     50 Day Low $ 35.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     50 Day Low $ 38.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (61)     50 Day Low $ 49.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 December 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (71)     50 Day Low $ 59.28 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 October 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (54)     50 Day Low $ 61.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 September 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (42)     50 Day Low $ 76.28 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 May 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (31)     50 Day Low $ 75.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (57)     50 Day Low $ 89.08 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 March 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     50 Day Low $ 26.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 November 2019   smart_toyLOW (63)     50 Day Low $ 23.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 September 2019   smart_toyLOW (51)     50 Day Low $ 30.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Chewy Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: CHWY) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 14 Jun 2019 - 15 Jul 2026.