Chewy Inc (CHWY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to CHWY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -4.84%. Win rate: 72.73%. Sharpe Ratio: -0.578. Maximum drawdown: -71.78% on 23 October 2023.
Mean CAGR: 165.67%. Time in market: 2074 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $440.71 on 14 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Chewy

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 11 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (72.73% * 8.95%) + (9.09% * 3.05%) - (18.18% * 63.98%) = -4.84%.
Wins: 8 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Chewy Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date	Signal Type	Scores						Performance
		Signal	Sector	WR	Speed	Risk	Overall	5%	6%	7.5%
23 July 2026 bubble_chart	Gap Down	61	60	83	90	29	70	schedule	schedule	schedule
13 July 2026 bubble_chart	Mega Dump Lite	58	73	83	90	37	72	schedule	schedule	schedule
29 June 2026 bubble_chart	Mega Dump	91	66	83	90	37	90	schedule	schedule	schedule
18 June 2026 bubble_chart	Super Oversold (26)	87	69	84	90	37	89	schedule	schedule	schedule
17 June 2026 bubble_chart	Super Oversold (52)	88	58	84	90	37	85	schedule	schedule	schedule
17 June 2026 bubble_chart	Super Oversold (RoC)	89	58	84	90	37	85	schedule	schedule	schedule
11 June 2026 bubble_chart	Super Oversold (MD)	87	62	83	90	37	86	schedule	schedule	schedule
11 June 2026 bubble_chart	Super Oversold (52)	87	62	83	90	37	86	schedule	schedule	schedule
10 June 2026 bubble_chart	52 Week Low	65	45	83	90	37	67	schedule	schedule	schedule
10 June 2026 bubble_chart	26 Week Low	72	45	83	90	37	71	schedule	schedule	schedule

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date	Buy Signal	Price	Scores						Performance (mouseover for details)
			Signal	Sector	WR	Speed	Risk	Overall	5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
10 June 2026 bubble_chart	52 Week Low	$ 19.60	65	45	83	90	37	67	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
08 May 2026 bubble_chart	52 Week Low	$ 23.34	58	85	83	88	35	76	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
20 March 2026 bubble_chart	52 Week Low	$ 23.80	81	80	83	86	39	89	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
29 January 2026 bubble_chart	52 Week Low	$ 30.52	61	63	82	87	50	70	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
30 April 2024	52 Week Low	$ 15.14	78	84	85	69	60	85	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2024	52 Week Low	$ 15.96	70	77	84	84	61	80	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 February 2024	52 Week Low	$ 16.65	54	82	83	63	61	69	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 October 2023	52 Week Low	$ 16.80	89	89	93	69	76	92	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 September 2023	52 Week Low	$ 19.62	79	84	100	71	84	85	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 August 2023	52 Week Low	$ 29.66	57	79	100	74	85	70	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
24 May 2022 bubble_chart	52 Week Low	$ 23.77	97	95	100	58	50	99	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 April 2022 bubble_chart	52 Week Low	$ 35.92	93	80	100	56	48	91	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2022 bubble_chart	52 Week Low	$ 38.68	96	81	100	22	42	85	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 January 2022 bubble_chart	52 Week Low	$ 49.66	93	84	100	10	35	79	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
06 December 2021 bubble_chart	52 Week Low	$ 59.28	76	86	100	16	24	75	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default

The data for Chewy Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: CHWY) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 14 Jun 2019 - 12 Aug 2026.