Carnival Corp (CCL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to CCL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 5.96%.   Win rate: 84.62%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.867.   Maximum drawdown: -84.08% on 02 April 2020.
Mean CAGR: 190.57%. Time in market: 6839 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $467.42 on 11 March 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Carnival

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 52 signal(s) occurring before 17 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (84.62% * 11.73%) + (5.77% * 1.80%) - (9.62% * 42.27%) = 5.96%.
Wins: 44 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 5

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Carnival Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
23 July 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (47)    shopping_cartLOW   schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (48)    shopping_cartLOW   schedule schedule schedule
24 June 2026 Double Seven   smart_toyLOW (57)    shopping_cartLOW   schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026 Gap Up   smart_toyLOW (62)    shopping_cartLOW   schedule schedule schedule
16 June 2026 Gap Up   smart_toyLOW (46)    shopping_cartLOW   schedule schedule schedule
10 June 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (47)    shopping_cartLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (51)    shopping_cartLOW   schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026 Williams %R (Weekly)   smart_toyLOW (49)    shopping_cartLOW   schedule schedule schedule
07 May 2026 Gap Up   smart_toyLOW (34)    shopping_cartLOW   select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 May 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (37)    shopping_cartLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
22 June 2026   smart_toyLOW (62)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 30.48 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 June 2026   smart_toyLOW (46)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 30.70 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 May 2026   smart_toyLOW (34)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 27.31 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
20 April 2026   smart_toyLOW (59)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 28.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
09 April 2026   smart_toyLOW (64)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 27.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
24 March 2026   smart_toyLOW (69)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 25.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2025   smart_toyLOW (75)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 29.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
25 June 2025   smart_toyLOW (70)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 25.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2025   smart_toyLOW (78)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 22.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 April 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (95)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 18.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 April 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)    shopping_cartHIGH   Gap Up $ 18.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 November 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (78)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 23.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 February 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (53)     Gap Up $ 15.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)     Gap Up $ 15.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 November 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (71)     Gap Up $ 14.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 July 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (52)     Gap Up $ 18.43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 June 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     Gap Up $ 15.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 December 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 8.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 November 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 10.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 October 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (97)     Gap Up $ 7.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 August 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (96)     Gap Up $ 10.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
11 August 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (96)     Gap Up $ 10.69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
11 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     Gap Up $ 13.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 April 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (62)     Gap Up $ 19.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 April 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (42)     Gap Up $ 19.38 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 March 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (79)     Gap Up $ 17.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
16 February 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (70)     Gap Up $ 23.04 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 November 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)     Gap Up $ 17.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 November 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (67)     Gap Up $ 24.74 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 October 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)     Gap Up $ 25.77 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 January 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)     Gap Up $ 19.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 December 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (90)     Gap Up $ 21.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 December 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     Gap Up $ 20.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 November 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     Gap Up $ 20.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 November 2020   smart_toyHIGH (96)     Gap Up $ 17.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 November 2020   smart_toyHIGH (97)     Gap Up $ 17.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 September 2020   smart_toyHIGH (94)     Gap Up $ 15.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 September 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     Gap Up $ 18.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 September 2020   smart_toyHIGH (90)     Gap Up $ 18.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 August 2020   smart_toyHIGH (92)     Gap Up $ 15.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 July 2020   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 16.11 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 July 2020   smart_toyHIGH (93)     Gap Up $ 15.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 June 2020   smart_toyHIGH (92)     Gap Up $ 19.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 June 2020   smart_toyHIGH (92)     Gap Up $ 18.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 June 2020   smart_toyHIGH (92)     Gap Up $ 23.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
08 June 2020   smart_toyHIGH (92)     Gap Up $ 24.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 May 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     Gap Up $ 16.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 May 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     Gap Up $ 17.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2020   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 14.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (94)     Gap Up $ 16.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (96)     Gap Up $ 16.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 12.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (97)     Gap Up $ 12.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (97)     Gap Up $ 11.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (97)     Gap Up $ 12.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (97)     Gap Up $ 11.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (97)     Gap Up $ 11.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (98)     Gap Up $ 9.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (99)     Gap Up $ 16.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (99)     Gap Up $ 15.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (99)     Gap Up $ 11.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (98)     Gap Up $ 14.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (96)     Gap Up $ 22.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 December 2019   smart_toyLOW (47)     Gap Up $ 50.20 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for Carnival Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: CCL) was last updated 27 Jul 2026 07:54. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 24 Jul 2026.