Carnival Corp (CCL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to CCL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -4.98%.   Win rate: 73.08%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.374.   Maximum drawdown: -86.67% on 02 April 2020.
Mean CAGR: 96.05%. Time in market: 6077 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $151.93 on 20 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Carnival

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (73.08% * 9.39%) + (3.85% * 2.39%) - (23.08% * 51.71%) = -4.98%.
Wins: 19 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 6

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Carnival Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
05 March 2026   smart_toyLOW (33)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 27.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
14 November 2025   smart_toyLOW (70)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 25.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 October 2025   smart_toyLOW (60)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 28.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
03 April 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (78)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 17.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (53)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 23.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (79)     50 Day Low $ 14.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 April 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (57)     50 Day Low $ 14.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 February 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (38)     50 Day Low $ 15.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 October 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (55)     50 Day Low $ 12.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 September 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (49)     50 Day Low $ 15.26 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 March 2023   smart_toyHIGH (91)     50 Day Low $ 8.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (95)     50 Day Low $ 7.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 June 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     50 Day Low $ 11.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
09 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     50 Day Low $ 14.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 March 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (61)     50 Day Low $ 17.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
17 November 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (69)     50 Day Low $ 21.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 July 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (44)     50 Day Low $ 24.47 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 October 2020   smart_toyLOW (77)     50 Day Low $ 12.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 July 2020   smart_toyLOW (61)     50 Day Low $ 14.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 22.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 February 2020   smart_toyLOW (44)     50 Day Low $ 42.10 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 October 2019   smart_toyLOW (73)     50 Day Low $ 40.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 August 2019   smart_toyLOW (69)     50 Day Low $ 43.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
20 June 2019   smart_toyLOW (49)     50 Day Low $ 46.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
27 March 2019   smart_toyLOW (61)     50 Day Low $ 49.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 December 2018   smart_toyHIGH (96)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 48.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
15 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (46)     50 Day Low $ 54.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 June 2018   smart_toyLOW (33)     50 Day Low $ 56.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
03 April 2018   smart_toyLOW (60)     50 Day Low $ 59.94 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 March 2018   smart_toyLOW (43)     50 Day Low $ 60.52 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 September 2017   smart_toyLOW (59)     50 Day Low $ 59.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
14 June 2016   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     50 Day Low $ 40.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Carnival Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: CCL) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 15 Jul 2026.