Carnival Corp (CCL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to CCL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 4.79%. Win rate: 84.62%. Sharpe Ratio: -0.3. Maximum drawdown: -79.28% on 02 April 2020.
Mean CAGR: 140.65%. Time in market: 1751 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $933.28 on 13 June 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Carnival

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 13 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (84.62% * 9.89%) + (7.69% * 2.39%) - (7.69% * 48.83%) = 4.79%.
Wins: 11 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Carnival Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date	Signal Type	Scores						Performance
		Signal	Sector	WR	Speed	Risk	Overall	5%	6%	7.5%
10 August 2026	Mega Dump Lite	47	72	88	91	29	64	schedule	schedule	schedule
23 July 2026	Gap Down	47	57	88	90	30	60	schedule	schedule	schedule
07 July 2026	Mega Dump Lite	48	75	88	89	36	65	schedule	schedule	schedule
24 June 2026	Double Seven	57	45	88	89	36	62	schedule	schedule	schedule
22 June 2026	Gap Up	62	53	88	89	36	68	schedule	schedule	schedule
16 June 2026	Gap Up	46	61	88	89	36	60	schedule	schedule	schedule
10 June 2026	Gap Down	47	46	88	89	35	56	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 June 2026	Mega Dump Lite	51	86	88	89	35	71	schedule	schedule	schedule
19 May 2026	Williams %R (Weekly)	49	85	86	86	32	69	schedule	schedule	schedule
07 May 2026	Gap Up	34	81	86	87	30	55	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date	Buy Signal	Price	Scores						Performance (mouseover for details)
			Signal	Sector	WR	Speed	Risk	Overall	5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
30 September 2022 bubble_chart	52 Week Low	$ 7.74	98	95	61	74	34	100	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 June 2022 bubble_chart	52 Week Low	$ 11.30	95	86	55	73	33	98	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
09 May 2022 bubble_chart	52 Week Low	$ 14.84	95	88	55	79	35	99	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
07 March 2022 bubble_chart	52 Week Low	$ 16.42	95	75	63	80	52	93	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 November 2021 bubble_chart	52 Week Low	$ 18.01	88	85	73	79	59	93	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 April 2020	52 Week Low	$ 7.99	90	96	85	74	80	96	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2020	52 Week Low	$ 38.57	62	80	100	76	92	74	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
02 October 2019	52 Week Low	$ 40.83	88	82	100	79	93	90	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 August 2019	52 Week Low	$ 43.58	78	86	100	81	90	86	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default
24 June 2019	52 Week Low	$ 44.20	72	73	100	84	91	79	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default
20 December 2018	52 Week Low	$ 48.36	98	96	100	78	95	100	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
24 October 2018	52 Week Low	$ 52.37	85	86	100	83	93	90	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default
05 June 2018	52 Week Low	$ 56.60	49	64	100	40	65	57	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default

The data for Carnival Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: CCL) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.