Carnival Corp (CCL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to CCL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 4.79%.   Win rate: 84.62%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.3.   Maximum drawdown: -79.28% on 02 April 2020.
Mean CAGR: 140.65%. Time in market: 1751 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $933.28 on 13 June 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Carnival

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 13 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (84.62% * 9.89%) + (7.69% * 2.39%) - (7.69% * 48.83%) = 4.79%.
Wins: 11 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Carnival Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy1   FIRE SALE 52 Week Low $ 7.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.995   FIRE SALE 52 Week Low $ 11.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
09 May 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.928   FIRE SALE 52 Week Low $ 14.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 March 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.984   52 Week Low $ 16.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 November 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.937   52 Week Low $ 18.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 April 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.999   FIRE SALE 52 Week Low $ 7.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.658   52 Week Low $ 38.57 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 October 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.529   52 Week Low $ 40.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 August 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.75   52 Week Low $ 43.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
24 June 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.869   52 Week Low $ 44.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
20 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.98   52 Week Low $ 48.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.827   52 Week Low $ 52.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
05 June 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.599   52 Week Low $ 56.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default

 

The data for Carnival Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: CCL) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 15 May 2026.