Chubb Ltd (CB) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to CB's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 7.47%.   Win rate: 85.71%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.816.   Maximum drawdown: -33.91% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 79.88%. Time in market: 3160 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2412.32 on 16 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Chubb

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 21 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (85.71% * 8.42%) + (14.29% * 1.79%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.47%.
Wins: 18 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Chubb Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.701   50 Day Low $ 320.84 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.902   50 Day Low $ 268.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 July 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.871   50 Day Low $ 279.07 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.753   50 Day Low $ 275.80 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
17 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.808   50 Day Low $ 243.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.978   50 Day Low $ 184.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.811   50 Day Low $ 207.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 February 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.933   50 Day Low $ 210.43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.988   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 182.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 July 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.983   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 184.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.945   50 Day Low $ 201.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 June 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.929   50 Day Low $ 156.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 January 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.761   50 Day Low $ 146.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 September 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.85   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 115.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 August 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.803   50 Day Low $ 123.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.861   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 144.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 October 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.9   50 Day Low $ 148.45 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 October 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.948   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 125.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
29 May 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.923   50 Day Low $ 125.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
03 April 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.95   50 Day Low $ 128.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 March 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.814   50 Day Low $ 134.11 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 December 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.694   50 Day Low $ 138.19 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 August 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.815   50 Day Low $ 133.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.932   50 Day Low $ 113.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.9   50 Day Low $ 115.17 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Chubb Ltd (exchange: XNYS symbol: CB) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 15 May 2026.