Caterpillar Inc (CAT) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to CAT's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.76%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 1.212.   Maximum drawdown: -30.17% on 16 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 133.2%. Time in market: 1353 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2711.70 on 16 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Caterpillar Inc

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 17 signal(s) occurring before 22 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.76%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.76%.
Wins: 17 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Caterpillar Inc Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
29 July 2026 Williams %R (Weekly)   smart_toyLOW (74)    factoryLOW   schedule schedule schedule
28 July 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low   smart_toyLOW (63)    factoryLOW   schedule schedule schedule
21 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (70)    factoryLOW   schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)    factoryLOW   schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven   smart_toyLOW (70)    factoryLOW   schedule schedule schedule
05 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (56)    factoryLOW   schedule schedule schedule
26 May 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound   smart_toyLOW (41)    factoryLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 May 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven   smart_toyLOW (56)    factoryLOW   schedule schedule schedule
01 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up   smart_toyLOW (49)    factoryLOW   select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 April 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (50)    factoryLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
29 July 2026   smart_toyLOW (74)    factoryLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 796.47 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 April 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)    factoryLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 312.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 February 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (57)    factoryLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 354.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 January 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)    factoryLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 362.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)    factoryLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 312.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (73)    factoryLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 326.93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 October 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)    factoryLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 249.11 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 May 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 207.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 March 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 231.66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 September 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (92)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 166.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (94)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 197.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 February 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 192.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 September 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (59)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 201.19 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 June 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (65)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 213.21 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 March 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 107.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 February 2020   smart_toyLOW (71)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 129.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
12 August 2019   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 115.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2019   smart_toyLOW (77)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 122.53 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 October 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 125.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
15 August 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (44)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 126.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
25 June 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (61)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 130.21 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
02 April 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 136.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Caterpillar Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: CAT) was last updated 30 Jul 2026 02:22. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 29 Jul 2026.