Caterpillar Inc (CAT) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.
Calculations for Caterpillar Inc
Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.
Expectancy calculation for 17 signal(s) occurring before 17 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.10%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.10%.
Wins: 17 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0
To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.
The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.
Caterpillar Inc Analysis
Market sector: Industrials.
External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.
These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.
| Most Recent Buy Signals | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Signal Type | Score | Performance | ||
| 5% | 6% | 7.5% | |||
| 21 July 2026 | Mega Dump Lite | smart_toyLOW (70) factoryLOW | |||
| 07 July 2026 | Gap Down | smart_toyMEDIUM (82) factoryLOW | |||
| 22 June 2026 | Double Seven | smart_toyLOW (70) factoryLOW | |||
| 05 June 2026 | Gap Down | smart_toyLOW (56) factoryLOW | |||
| 26 May 2026 | Oversold Rebound | smart_toyLOW (41) factoryLOW | |||
| 18 May 2026 | Double Seven | smart_toyLOW (56) factoryLOW | |||
| 01 May 2026 | Gap Up | smart_toyLOW (49) factoryLOW | |||
| 15 April 2026 | Gap Down | smart_toyLOW (50) factoryLOW | |||
| 10 April 2026 | Mega Dump Lite | smart_toyLOW (75) factoryLOW | |||
| 09 April 2026 | Gap Up | smart_toyLOW (68) factoryLOW | |||
Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)
This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.
Key:
= profit point not achieved.
= profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
= profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%.
= profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.
| Signal Date, Score and Sector Score | Buy Signal | Price | Performance (mouseover for details) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6% | 7.5% | 10% | 20% | |||
| 01 May 2026 smart_toyLOW (49) factoryLOW | Gap Up | $ 893.26 | |||||
| 09 April 2026 smart_toyLOW (68) factoryLOW | Gap Up | $ 780.04 | |||||
| 30 October 2025 smart_toyLOW (60) factoryLOW | Gap Up | $ 580.52 | |||||
| 13 May 2025 smart_toyLOW (55) factoryLOW | Gap Up | $ 350.74 | |||||
| 07 November 2024 smart_toyLOW (47) factoryLOW | Gap Up | $ 411.56 | |||||
| 06 February 2024 smart_toyLOW (62) | Gap Up | $ 322.96 | |||||
| 28 October 2022 smart_toyHIGH (96) | Gap Up | $ 215.92 | |||||
| 08 July 2022 smart_toyHIGH (96) | Gap Up | $ 179.66 | |||||
| 09 November 2021 smart_toyLOW (49) | Gap Up | $ 212.50 | |||||
| 10 November 2020 smart_toyMEDIUM (86) | Gap Up | $ 172.10 | |||||
| 17 June 2020 smart_toyLOW (68) | Gap Up | $ 129.20 | |||||
| 08 June 2020 smart_toyLOW (74) | Gap Up | $ 136.52 | |||||
| 07 April 2020 smart_toyHIGH (95) | Gap Up | $ 121.33 | |||||
| 25 March 2020 smart_toyHIGH (96) | Gap Up | $ 102.02 | |||||
| 16 March 2020 smart_toyHIGH (98) | Gap Up | $ 90.40 | |||||
| 11 March 2020 smart_toyLOW (67) | Gap Up | $ 101.35 | |||||
| 04 December 2018 smart_toyLOW (61) | Gap Up | $ 128.02 | |||||
| 25 October 2017 smart_toyLOW (56) | Gap Up | $ 128.31 | |||||
| 26 July 2017 smart_toyLOW (75) | Gap Up | $ 106.01 | |||||
| 26 April 2017 smart_toyMEDIUM (83) | Gap Up | $ 96.32 | |||||
| 10 November 2016 smart_toyLOW (72) | Gap Up | $ 84.32 | |||||
| 29 January 2016 smart_toyHIGH (98) | Gap Up | $ 54.77 | |||||
The data for Caterpillar Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: CAT) was last updated 27 Jul 2026 07:54. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 24 Jul 2026.