Burlington Stores Inc (BURL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to BURL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.36%.   Win rate: 91.94%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.414.   Maximum drawdown: -67.69% on 30 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 138.38%. Time in market: 7020 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $8793.94 on 30 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Burlington Stores

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 62 signal(s) occurring before 01 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (91.94% * 9.58%) + (3.23% * 0.89%) - (4.84% * 51.12%) = 6.36%.
Wins: 57 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Burlington Stores Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 May 2026   cards_starLOW    shopping_cartLOW   Double Seven $ 329.08 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 April 2026   cards_starLOW    shopping_cartLOW   Double Seven $ 329.60 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 March 2026   cards_starLOW    shopping_cartLOW   Double Seven $ 317.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
17 February 2026   cards_starMEDIUM    shopping_cartLOW   Double Seven $ 322.55 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
13 January 2026   cards_starMEDIUM    shopping_cartLOW   Double Seven $ 306.13 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
12 December 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 269.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 November 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 283.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 October 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 261.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 September 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 291.59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
01 August 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 270.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 230.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 January 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 288.09 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 December 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 286.11 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 November 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 284.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 October 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 253.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
23 September 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 271.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
20 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 264.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 July 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 244.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
17 June 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 231.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 May 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 196.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 196.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 215.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 February 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 193.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 January 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 188.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 June 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 148.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 May 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 189.67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 March 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 200.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 February 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 222.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 January 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 227.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 December 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 187.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 September 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 289.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 August 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 343.38 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 July 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 330.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 June 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 310.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
30 April 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 325.39 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 March 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 293.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 265.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 January 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 253.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 238.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 November 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 226.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 October 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 212.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 September 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 206.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 July 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 172.35 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 June 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 206.49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 March 2020   cards_starHIGH     Double Seven $ 160.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 215.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 January 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 219.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 December 2019   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 226.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
22 November 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 206.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 October 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 199.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 September 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 197.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 August 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 171.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 July 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 181.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 June 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 165.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 May 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 167.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 February 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 162.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 January 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 164.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
14 December 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 159.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 November 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 172.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 October 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 152.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 September 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 168.89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 August 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 154.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
03 July 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 150.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
01 June 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 148.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
30 April 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 136.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 March 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 131.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 February 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 121.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 January 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 121.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 November 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 98.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 October 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 92.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 June 2017   LOW     Double Seven $ 87.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 May 2017   LOW     Double Seven $ 95.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
20 April 2017   LOW     Double Seven $ 95.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
20 March 2017   LOW     Double Seven $ 94.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
14 February 2017   LOW     Double Seven $ 86.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 January 2017   LOW     Double Seven $ 85.21 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 December 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 87.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
31 October 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 74.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 September 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 83.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 August 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 75.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 July 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 67.35 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Burlington Stores Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: BURL) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 08 Jun 2026.