Burlington Stores Inc (BURL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to BURL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 1.87%.   Win rate: 85.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.962.   Maximum drawdown: -63.07% on 30 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 129.86%. Time in market: 3760 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1757.35 on 30 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Burlington Stores

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 20 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (85.00% * 9.70%) + (0% * 0%) - (15.00% * 42.48%) = 1.87%.
Wins: 17 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Burlington Stores Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 May 2026   smart_toyLOW (35)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 290.56 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
25 November 2025   smart_toyLOW (66)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 252.49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2025   smart_toyLOW (40)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 255.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 April 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)    shopping_cartLOW   sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 220.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 March 2025   smart_toyLOW (63)    shopping_cartLOW   sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 230.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 February 2025   smart_toyLOW (31)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 269.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 November 2024   smart_toyLOW (76)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 246.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 April 2024   smart_toyLOW (44)     50 Day Low $ 192.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 September 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (28)     50 Day Low $ 153.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (48)     50 Day Low $ 146.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 May 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (72)     50 Day Low $ 185.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 March 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (79)     50 Day Low $ 205.05 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 September 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (90)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 139.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 June 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 144.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (94)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 171.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (74)     50 Day Low $ 211.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
07 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (45)     50 Day Low $ 259.55 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 October 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (62)     50 Day Low $ 279.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
31 August 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (43)     50 Day Low $ 300.45 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 June 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (51)     50 Day Low $ 301.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
28 February 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     50 Day Low $ 215.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 March 2019   smart_toyLOW (65)     50 Day Low $ 149.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 November 2018   smart_toyLOW (72)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 148.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (70)     50 Day Low $ 151.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 August 2017   smart_toyLOW (60)     50 Day Low $ 84.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 June 2017   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     50 Day Low $ 87.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 October 2016   smart_toyLOW (71)     50 Day Low $ 75.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Burlington Stores Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: BURL) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 15 Jul 2026.