Black Hills Corporation (BKH) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to BKH's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 4.82%.   Win rate: 74.19%.   Sharpe Ratio: -4.307.   Maximum drawdown: -36.95% on 03 October 2023.
Mean CAGR: 62.48%. Time in market: 6790 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1290.00 on 01 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Black Hills

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 31 signal(s) occurring before 18 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (74.19% * 8.21%) + (16.13% * 1.39%) - (9.68% * 15.51%) = 4.82%.
Wins: 23 Breakevens: 5 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Black Hills Analysis

Market sector: Utilities.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
26 March 2026   smart_toyLOW (76)    electrical_servicesLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 68.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
24 December 2024   smart_toyLOW (79)    electrical_servicesLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 58.66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 February 2024   smart_toyLOW (77)    electrical_servicesLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 51.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 January 2024   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)    electrical_servicesLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 51.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 November 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)    electrical_servicesHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 50.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 October 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)    electrical_servicesHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 47.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 August 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)    electrical_servicesHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 55.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 July 2023   smart_toyLOW (76)    electrical_servicesHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 57.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 June 2023   smart_toyHIGH (91)    electrical_servicesLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 59.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 March 2023   smart_toyHIGH (92)    electrical_servicesHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 61.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 February 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     Mega Dump Lite $ 63.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 November 2022   smart_toyHIGH (92)     Mega Dump Lite $ 63.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
04 October 2022   smart_toyHIGH (96)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 70.20 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 June 2022   smart_toyHIGH (93)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 69.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
04 May 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     Mega Dump Lite $ 74.82 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 September 2021   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Mega Dump Lite $ 63.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 December 2020   smart_toyLOW (77)     Mega Dump Lite $ 59.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 August 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     Mega Dump Lite $ 56.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 July 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     Mega Dump Lite $ 60.05 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 June 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Mega Dump Lite $ 61.87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 May 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 59.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (94)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 62.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
04 March 2020   smart_toyLOW (79)     Mega Dump Lite $ 78.36 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 February 2019   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     Mega Dump Lite $ 64.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 December 2018   smart_toyHIGH (95)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 59.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2018   smart_toyHIGH (90)     Mega Dump Lite $ 48.13 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 January 2018   smart_toyLOW (73)     Mega Dump Lite $ 50.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 December 2017   smart_toyLOW (72)     Mega Dump Lite $ 55.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 November 2017   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     Mega Dump Lite $ 53.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 November 2016   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     Mega Dump Lite $ 52.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 October 2016   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     Mega Dump Lite $ 52.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 August 2016   smart_toyLOW (76)     Mega Dump Lite $ 52.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
20 November 2015   smart_toyLOW (61)     Mega Dump Lite $ 36.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Black Hills Corporation (exchange: XNYS symbol: BKH) was last updated 26 Jun 2026 05:21. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 25 Jun 2026.