Brown-Forman Corp (BF-B) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to BF-B's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: -0.71%.   Win rate: 85.71%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.595.   Maximum drawdown: -57.76% on 18 June 2025.
Mean CAGR: 86.29%. Time in market: 2321 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $733.07 on 22 September 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Brown-Forman

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 14 signal(s) occurring before 19 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (85.71% * 8.49%) + (0% * 0%) - (14.29% * 55.93%) = -0.71%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Brown-Forman Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
06 March 2026   30     52 Week Low $ 25.57 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 January 2026   25     52 Week Low $ 25.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
05 June 2025   25     52 Week Low $ 27.37 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
29 January 2025   40     52 Week Low $ 32.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
24 December 2024   30     52 Week Low $ 40.04 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 November 2024   35     52 Week Low $ 41.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
02 July 2024   25     52 Week Low $ 42.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
29 May 2024   25     52 Week Low $ 44.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
24 April 2024   25     52 Week Low $ 49.00 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 March 2024   25     52 Week Low $ 52.91 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 September 2023   50     52 Week Low $ 60.82 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
25 May 2023   50     52 Week Low $ 61.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
10 March 2023   20     52 Week Low $ 61.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
19 May 2022   35     52 Week Low $ 61.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 February 2022   50     52 Week Low $ 65.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 January 2022   20     52 Week Low $ 66.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 September 2021   25     52 Week Low $ 68.33 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
13 August 2021   25     52 Week Low $ 68.76 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
23 March 2020  bubble_chart   100     mode_heat 52 Week Low $ 47.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 January 2019  bubble_chart   40     52 Week Low $ 44.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 December 2018  bubble_chart   55     52 Week Low $ 45.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 January 2017       52 Week Low $ 33.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 December 2016       52 Week Low $ 33.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Brown-Forman Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: BF-B) was last updated 27 Mar 2026 10:55. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 26 Mar 2026.