Brown-Forman Corp (BF-B) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to BF-B's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -2.18%.   Win rate: 82.35%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.861.   Maximum drawdown: -57.76% on 18 June 2025.
Mean CAGR: 74.75%. Time in market: 3226 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $733.07 on 22 September 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Brown-Forman

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 17 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (82.35% * 8.41%) + (0% * 0%) - (17.65% * 51.58%) = -2.18%.
Wins: 14 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Brown-Forman Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
03 August 2026 Gap Down 61 67 79 85 58 71 schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026 Collapsed Bubble 86 78 79 84 62 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 83 66 79 86 62 84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
17 June 2026 Gap Down 64 58 78 86 61 70 schedule schedule schedule
09 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 58 62 78 86 61 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 May 2026 Double Seven 40 73 78 86 61 58 schedule schedule schedule
29 April 2026 Gap Down 48 76 81 84 64 65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 April 2026 Collapsed Bubble 67 83 81 84 64 79 schedule schedule schedule
20 April 2026 Double Seven 58 56 85 83 68 65 schedule schedule schedule
13 April 2026 Collapsed Bubble 68 68 85 83 68 75 schedule schedule schedule

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
06 March 2026 52 Week Low $ 25.57 79 76 88 84 77 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
08 January 2026 52 Week Low $ 25.58 86 64 89 84 81 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
05 June 2025 52 Week Low $ 27.37 94 47 97 66 83 78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
29 January 2025 52 Week Low $ 32.88 71 79 96 65 84 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
24 December 2024 52 Week Low $ 40.04 87 93 96 65 85 92 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 November 2024 52 Week Low $ 41.18 75 83 97 57 85 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
02 July 2024 52 Week Low $ 42.36 82 86 100 67 90 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
29 May 2024 52 Week Low $ 44.28 72 57 100 77 91 72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
24 April 2024 52 Week Low $ 49.00 71 72 100 57 90 75 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 March 2024 52 Week Low $ 52.91 65 72 100 78 89 73 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 September 2023 52 Week Low $ 60.82 54 89 100 60 93 69 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
25 May 2023 52 Week Low $ 61.17 78 79 100 67 95 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
10 March 2023 52 Week Low $ 61.88 74 74 100 73 92 79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
19 May 2022 52 Week Low $ 61.90 97 95 100 59 90 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 February 2022 52 Week Low $ 65.76 84 81 100 45 90 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 January 2022 52 Week Low $ 66.98 69 81 100 40 90 73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 September 2021 52 Week Low $ 68.33 70 88 100 63 91 79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
13 August 2021 52 Week Low $ 68.76 76 82 100 65 91 81 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
23 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 47.52 98 97 100 60 96 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 January 2019 52 Week Low $ 44.62 82 91 100 59 95 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 December 2018 52 Week Low $ 45.54 92 92 100 63 95 94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 January 2017 52 Week Low $ 33.28 70 68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 December 2016 52 Week Low $ 33.38 66 92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Brown-Forman Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: BF-B) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.