Best Buy Co. Inc (BBY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to BBY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 6.19%.   Win rate: 89.29%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.584.   Maximum drawdown: -46.25% on 12 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 150.36%. Time in market: 6640 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $6995.56 on 31 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Best Buy

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 56 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (89.29% * 8.69%) + (3.57% * 2.42%) - (7.14% * 23.08%) = 6.19%.
Wins: 50 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Best Buy Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
04 May 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.65   Mega Dump Lite $ 58.54 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
31 March 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.741   Mega Dump Lite $ 64.41 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.596   Mega Dump Lite $ 61.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
26 January 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.662   Mega Dump Lite $ 66.92 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 December 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.512   Mega Dump Lite $ 70.47 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.678   Mega Dump Lite $ 75.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
18 August 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.877   Mega Dump Lite $ 71.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
15 July 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.682   Mega Dump Lite $ 69.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
13 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.874   Mega Dump Lite $ 70.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
12 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.87   Mega Dump Lite $ 74.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
08 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.997   Mega Dump Lite $ 60.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.94   Mega Dump Lite $ 78.70 select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule schedule
03 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.796   Mega Dump Lite $ 89.96 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.718   Mega Dump Lite $ 90.72 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 September 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.667   Mega Dump Lite $ 97.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
09 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.716   Mega Dump Lite $ 83.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.61   Mega Dump Lite $ 84.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.623   Mega Dump Lite $ 73.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.716   Mega Dump Lite $ 76.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 January 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.58   Mega Dump Lite $ 72.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 December 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.852   Mega Dump Lite $ 73.35 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 November 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.826   Mega Dump Lite $ 65.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.696   Mega Dump Lite $ 74.99 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
02 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.625   Mega Dump Lite $ 70.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
30 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.745   Mega Dump Lite $ 75.41 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 February 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.457   Mega Dump Lite $ 83.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 January 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.474   Mega Dump Lite $ 84.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
16 December 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.715   Mega Dump Lite $ 79.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 November 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.733   Mega Dump Lite $ 74.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 October 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.982   Mega Dump Lite $ 63.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 September 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.862   Mega Dump Lite $ 72.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 August 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.892   Mega Dump Lite $ 76.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
28 June 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.972   Mega Dump Lite $ 70.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 May 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.969   Mega Dump Lite $ 75.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 April 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.657   Mega Dump Lite $ 94.67 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 March 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.969   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 94.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.782   Mega Dump Lite $ 98.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 January 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.861   Mega Dump Lite $ 102.76 select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 December 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.514   Mega Dump Lite $ 105.95 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 September 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.561   Mega Dump Lite $ 105.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 August 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.765   Mega Dump Lite $ 112.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 June 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.784   Mega Dump Lite $ 112.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 May 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.569   Mega Dump Lite $ 115.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
06 April 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.553   Mega Dump Lite $ 119.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
03 March 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.795   Mega Dump Lite $ 101.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 December 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.823   Mega Dump Lite $ 102.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 November 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.645   Mega Dump Lite $ 116.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 October 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.775   Mega Dump Lite $ 118.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 September 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.741   Mega Dump Lite $ 108.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
09 June 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.647   Mega Dump Lite $ 81.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 May 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.784   Mega Dump Lite $ 77.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 April 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.988   Mega Dump Lite $ 58.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.879   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 78.13 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.724   Mega Dump Lite $ 66.89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 August 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.785   Mega Dump Lite $ 66.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 June 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.849   Mega Dump Lite $ 65.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 May 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.76   Mega Dump Lite $ 65.93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 January 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.97   Mega Dump Lite $ 55.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.933   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 50.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 November 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.887   Mega Dump Lite $ 62.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.841   Mega Dump Lite $ 68.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 July 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.651   Mega Dump Lite $ 69.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
01 June 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.73   Mega Dump Lite $ 64.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 April 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.551   Mega Dump Lite $ 67.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
13 March 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.574   Mega Dump Lite $ 67.13 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
08 February 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.855   Mega Dump Lite $ 65.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 October 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.751   Mega Dump Lite $ 54.67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 September 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.842   Mega Dump Lite $ 50.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 July 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.643   Mega Dump Lite $ 52.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 June 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.654   Mega Dump Lite $ 51.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.54   Mega Dump Lite $ 40.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 February 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.842   Mega Dump Lite $ 39.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 January 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.888   Mega Dump Lite $ 39.57 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.794   Mega Dump Lite $ 26.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Best Buy Co. Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: BBY) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 15 May 2026.