Autozone Inc (AZO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom
Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB Best Buy Signals [ What are these indicators? | Switch to AZO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores help.
Expectancy: 8.26%. Win rate: 100%. Sharpe Ratio: -10.5. Maximum drawdown: -37.23% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 114.06%. Time in market: 2892 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $4397.43 on 16 August 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Autozone

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 33 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.26%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.26%.
Wins: 33 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Autozone Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
27 April 2026 LOW smart_toy0.643	Mega Dump Lite	$ 3560.60	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
25 March 2026 MEDIUM smart_toy0.688	Mega Dump Lite	$ 3378.83	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule	schedule
12 January 2026 LOW smart_toy0.816	Mega Dump Lite	$ 3481.00	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
09 December 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.651	Mega Dump Lite	$ 3595.83	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule
05 November 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.638	Mega Dump Lite	$ 3672.84	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule	schedule
10 April 2025 LOW smart_toy0.929	Mega Dump Lite	$ 3583.14	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
03 June 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.721	Mega Dump Lite	$ 2772.40	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
18 April 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.576	Mega Dump Lite	$ 2968.62	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
27 October 2023 LOW smart_toy0.879	Mega Dump Lite	$ 2442.35	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
03 July 2023 LOW smart_toy0.809	Mega Dump Lite	$ 2476.02	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
30 May 2023 LOW smart_toy0.887	Mega Dump Lite	$ 2446.68	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
20 January 2023 LOW smart_toy0.756	Mega Dump Lite	$ 2328.30	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
19 December 2022 LOW smart_toy0.675	Mega Dump Lite	$ 2386.88	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
06 September 2022 LOW smart_toy0.824	Mega Dump Lite	$ 2126.00	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 June 2022 LOW smart_toy0.941	Mega Dump Lite	$ 2099.99	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
04 May 2022 LOW smart_toy0.663	Mega Dump Lite	$ 2020.32	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
31 March 2022 LOW smart_toy0.767	Mega Dump Lite	$ 2055.72	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
28 February 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.891	Mega Dump Lite	$ 1846.54	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 July 2021 LOW smart_toy0.555	Mega Dump Lite	$ 1544.55	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
01 June 2021 LOW smart_toy0.68	Mega Dump Lite	$ 1412.83	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
02 February 2021 LOW smart_toy0.77	Mega Dump Lite	$ 1176.92	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 September 2020 LOW smart_toy0.648	Mega Dump Lite	$ 1152.85	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
27 April 2020 LOW smart_toy0.935	Mega Dump Lite	$ 1057.64	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
25 March 2020 HIGH smart_toy0.991 FIRE SALE	Mega Dump Lite	$ 832.90	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 February 2020 LOW smart_toy0.66	Mega Dump Lite	$ 1070.85	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
16 January 2020 LOW smart_toy0.767	Mega Dump Lite	$ 1143.03	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
14 October 2019 LOW smart_toy0.811	Mega Dump Lite	$ 1085.14	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
10 September 2019 LOW smart_toy0.752	Mega Dump Lite	$ 1139.62	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
08 August 2019 LOW smart_toy0.792	Mega Dump Lite	$ 1082.92	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
23 October 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.88	Mega Dump Lite	$ 730.54	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 May 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.487	Mega Dump Lite	$ 628.16	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.668	Mega Dump Lite	$ 638.26	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.855	Mega Dump Lite	$ 722.98	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
31 July 2017 LOW smart_toy0.79	Mega Dump Lite	$ 533.94	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2017 LOW smart_toy0.94	Mega Dump Lite	$ 578.16	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
26 May 2017 LOW smart_toy0.54	Mega Dump Lite	$ 610.31	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
10 March 2017 LOW smart_toy0.554	Mega Dump Lite	$ 717.30	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
06 February 2017 LOW smart_toy0.618	Mega Dump Lite	$ 722.06	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
13 September 2016 LOW smart_toy0.638	Mega Dump Lite	$ 740.12	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
12 February 2016 LOW smart_toy0.99	Mega Dump Lite	$ 723.38	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box

The data for Autozone Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: AZO) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 04 Jan 2016 - 15 May 2026.