American Express Company (AXP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to AXP's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.62%.   Win rate: 93.75%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.163.   Maximum drawdown: -37.25% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 158.16%. Time in market: 3084 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $5042.98 on 16 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for American Express

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 32 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (93.75% * 9.19%) + (6.25% * 0.12%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.62%.
Wins: 30 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

American Express Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
29 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 43 70 100 92 81 59 schedule schedule schedule
08 July 2026 Gap Down 44 72 100 91 83 60 schedule schedule schedule
24 June 2026 Oversold Rebound 51 41 100 91 83 55 schedule schedule schedule
03 June 2026 Gap Down 30 88 100 91 83 52 schedule schedule schedule
23 April 2026 Gap Down 35 84 100 88 83 55 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite 52 66 100 88 83 64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 66 76 100 88 83 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 March 2026 50 Day Low 49 79 100 88 85 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2026 Double Seven 35 77 100 88 85 54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 March 2026 Rate of Change 63 59 100 89 85 69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
29 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 332.56 43 70 100 92 81 59 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
31 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 302.73 52 66 100 88 83 64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
26 February 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 332.58 48 65 100 89 86 61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
21 November 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 349.24 57 77 100 91 89 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
06 August 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 296.38 62 56 100 82 85 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 May 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 276.74 83 72 100 83 87 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 April 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 268.11 67 74 100 80 88 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 298.62 51 52 100 81 89 59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
08 August 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 232.30 73 73 100 75 89 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 October 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 147.54 40 81 100 73 91 58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 May 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 151.87 61 74 100 79 93 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 April 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 163.40 50 70 100 81 93 63 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 March 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 163.75 69 84 100 81 88 80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
24 January 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 154.66 75 79 100 72 73 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
22 December 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 145.68 87 91 100 70 74 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 October 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 136.86 90 96 100 65 71 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 September 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 152.22 87 89 100 65 71 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 July 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 146.09 87 88 100 64 71 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 June 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 141.09 78 95 100 67 72 88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 May 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 156.92 84 93 100 68 79 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 April 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 176.06 45 71 100 67 78 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 March 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 169.82 61 88 100 80 88 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
07 February 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 186.75 49 69 100 80 88 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 January 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 171.66 47 89 100 75 88 65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
03 December 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 157.01 69 89 100 80 88 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 140.12 47 65 100 77 91 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 February 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 117.36 51 43 100 77 92 55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 December 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 120.12 71 76 100 78 94 78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 October 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 91.02 68 86 100 78 91 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 September 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 98.91 65 84 100 78 89 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 July 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 93.90 65 83 100 81 88 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 June 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 110.27 57 71 100 80 89 68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 May 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 89.00 64 77 100 79 91 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 April 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 81.43 92 96 100 80 89 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 112.34 55 89 100 77 82 71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 January 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 99.01 71 84 100 70 82 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 December 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 91.34 94 98 100 70 84 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 February 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 90.47 52 74 100 20 49 58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
30 June 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 56.87 71 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 February 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 49.58 90 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 January 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 60.32 87 79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for American Express Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: AXP) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.