Arthur J. Gallagher & Company (AJG) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to AJG's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.37%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: ∞.   Maximum drawdown: -0.29% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 300%. Time in market: 6 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1093.70 on 25 March 2020.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Arthur J. Gallagher

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 1 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.37%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.37%.
Wins: 1 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Arthur J. Gallagher Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
30 July 2026 Gap Down 49 53 100 95 87 59 schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026 Collapsed Bubble 74 76 100 94 88 82 schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2026 Oversold Rebound 64 56 100 94 88 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 61 62 100 94 88 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 39 56 100 94 88 53 schedule schedule schedule
10 June 2026 Gap Up 32 45 100 94 88 44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 53 64 100 94 88 65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2026 Super Oversold (52) 51 87 100 91 87 69 schedule schedule schedule
12 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite 64 86 100 91 87 79 schedule schedule schedule
06 May 2026 Gap Down 30 78 100 91 87 50 schedule schedule schedule

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
06 May 2026 52 Week Low $ 202.16 61 78 100 91 87 74 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 February 2026 52 Week Low $ 228.96 75 56 100 91 89 75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
02 December 2025 52 Week Low $ 245.05 39 70 100 89 90 56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
21 October 2025 52 Week Low $ 278.90 46 78 100 84 91 63 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 69.79 98 98 100 94 99 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Arthur J. Gallagher & Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: AJG) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Mar 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.