Aflac Inc (AFL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to AFL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.17%.   Win rate: 93.33%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.426.   Maximum drawdown: -49.44% on 19 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 96.61%. Time in market: 1715 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2193.80 on 13 March 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Aflac Inc

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 15 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (93.33% * 8.66%) + (6.67% * 1.22%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.17%.
Wins: 14 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Aflac Inc Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
19 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.881  factory0.643   50 Day Low $ 107.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
11 July 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.918  factory0.536   50 Day Low $ 101.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
07 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.98  factory0.874   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 99.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
10 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.789  factory0.67   50 Day Low $ 104.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
01 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.883  factory0.669   50 Day Low $ 105.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
01 February 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.951  factory0.772   50 Day Low $ 77.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 February 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.762  factory0.87   50 Day Low $ 68.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.977  factory0.914   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 54.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 April 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.866  factory0.864   50 Day Low $ 58.17 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 September 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.732  factory0.674   50 Day Low $ 51.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 July 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.736  factory0.622   50 Day Low $ 51.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 October 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.78  factory0.795   50 Day Low $ 35.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.934  factory0.847   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 42.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 January 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.861  factory0.729   50 Day Low $ 51.07 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.801  factory0.783   50 Day Low $ 49.07 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 October 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.794  factory0.914   50 Day Low $ 43.61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 June 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.845  factory0.909   50 Day Low $ 42.07 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
08 February 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.975  factory0.791   50 Day Low $ 39.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
01 February 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.864  factory0.667   50 Day Low $ 31.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.914  factory0.696   50 Day Low $ 32.49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Aflac Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: AFL) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 29 May 2026.